Thread: Current Returns & Transactions

Well, bull markets historically are known to give back up to 50% of their gains - so one has to be careful and at the sametime svelte when getting out. That's why there is so much fear on this board - and it's justified.

Originally Posted by Partyartie

I have reviewed the Current Returns & Transactions Chart and must confess to some confusion. Specifically, I noted the returns in the columns entitled TSP Talk Trading and TSP Talk Long Term. Unfortunately, the Longer Term Market Outlook provides three (3) possible long term allocations: 1) Aggressive, 2) Moderate, and 3) Conservative. I am unable to discern which of the three allocations is used to determine the returns under the TSP Talk Long Term column of the Current Returns & Transactions Chart?

Lastly, I've noted, too, that the TSP Long Term is blowing away the TSP Trading for the year to date. The concentration in the F and G has certainly been costly.

The TSP Talk Long Term is the Aggressive long-term allocation. The three long-term allocations are the recommendations for the non-trading portfolios which maintain a constant equity/bond/cash allocation for six to 12 months. TSPTalk adjusts these aloocations in January and July each year based upon long-term market expectastions. The TSP Talk Trading portfolio moves in and out of the TSP equity funds based upon intermediate market expectations.

We have some members that are doing quite well in their trading/investing.
We have some members that are new and just learning.

We have some members that are young and aggressive.
We have some members that are old and very conservative.

What I Know:
We have TSPTalk that gave us this opportunity, a web site, complete with a professional financial advisor.

Thanks, EWGuy for the response to my question!

I would add, too, that I certainly appreciate the availability of this forum as a vehicle for discussion and learning. My reference to the TSP Talk Trading results vs. those of the TSP Talk Long Term results was merely a statement of recognition, not a criticism. Frankly, I was somewhat surprised at the disparity in results, and didn't think acknowledging the fact would cause umbrage. Certainly, it was unintended...

If this market rolls over and drops 900 points which it can easily accomplish, then Tom will be sanctified. But if it runs up 900 points before the end of the year, well he is still neutral and only receives a sore neck from looking up. We all have equal opportunity to practice this art of investing and have to remember next year is another opportunity. Change is inevitable.

Originally Posted by Partyartie

I noted the returns in the columns entitled TSP Talk Trading and TSP Talk Long Term. Unfortunately, the Longer Term Market Outlook provides three (3) possible long term allocations: 1) Aggressive, 2) Moderate, and 3) Conservative. I am unable to discern which of the three allocations is used to determine the returns under the TSP Talk Long Term column of the Current Returns & Transactions Chart?

EWGuy got it right. I'll add that the moderate and conservative options are geared more toward capital preservation than growth so their objectives are not to obtain the highest return possible.

By the way, welcome Partyartie!

Tom