Quote Originally Posted by PessOptimist View Post
Soooo. Some or one of the cycles were off by a year. Some are close. All are "worth a look". Yup, everything is "worth a look".

A system works until it doesn't, then you adjust it to show it did actually work. Then if you are smart, you try to sell it.
True. This holds for every system out there, but all knowledge and theory adds to the predictive analysis that allows for some to take decisive actions when the time is right. It's the same thought process and gut feeling that allows you to lay down the pair of aces because you know you are beat or go all in with a suited 3, 4 which leads to a straight flush.

All systems are tools that work during one period or another. Knowledge of all the tools allows one to pick the right one for the time it will work for the market and make some money until it stops working. Ask Ebb&Flow, and Intrepid Timer plus many others about timing, systems, and the market.

Business Cycle, Jaglar, Kitchin and Long Wave theory are tools that have worked in the past but need adjustments to work now. Every system on this message board has been adjusted (Sentiment Survey had adjustments for Bear/Bull market rules, Seven Sentinels was also adjusted a few times)) and some are still being adjusted.

The point is that all knowledge is flawed at times with the market action and adjustments are made to systems or systems are abandon for other systems that are working right now.

If you find a system that works all the time I hope you will share.