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Thread: Master's Fidelity Portafolio

  1. #1
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    Default Master's Fidelity Portafolio

    International - 46%
    FOSFX - Hold - $41.61
    FNMIX - Hold - $14.43 (Emergent Market Bonds)
    FLATX - Hold - $31.98

    Mid-Caps - 0%
    FMCSX - Sold - waiting to buy - $26.57
    FSLCX - Sold - looking soon to buy - $18.30 (Small-cap -really mid-cap)

    Sector - Energy - 0%
    FSESX - Sold - waiting to buy (under $60) - $65.74

    Large-Cap Growth - 0%
    FGDRX - Sold - waiting to buy - $63.63
    FCNTX - Sold - waiting to buy - $64.76
    FSMKX - Sold - waiting to buy - $86.02 (S&P-500)

    Cash Funds waiting to buy - 54%
    FDRXX - Hold - $1.00

    This portafolio with several fund exchanges gave me +19.96% in 2005. I am about 80% technician looking at both weekly and daily MACDs as primary indicators, but use 20% or so gut-feeling (being burned a few times). Take a look at one example:

    Check the MACD of FOSFX http://stockcharts.com/gallery/?FOSFX, a fund that I am still holding on. According to technician theory regarding MACDs, one should sell as the Bearish Moving Average Crossovers
    see: http://www.stockcharts.com/education...dic_MACD1.html for explanation.

    In my view, January will be bearish, but there is quite a bit of money coming into the market. Thus, I will hold for an extra few days, as the choices for money will drive those funds up. I am hoping to sell FOSFX in a week or two if conditions look right.

    I will try to post my moves on a timely fashion through the year.


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    Sold today before 3pm deadline all my holdings on FOSFX (40% of total) as the EFA index is picking up a hefty amount. Position in Cash is now 93% ready for January dip.

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    Keep in mind that many Fidelity funds have a significant penalty (>1%) for trading under 30 days and some, like the FLATX for 90 days. The gain today (1/3) for share prices was phenomenal. I bought FOSFX at 38.26 on 11/10 (posted at my TSP talk thread), received dividens on 12/2, and sold today at 42.68 for a gain of 13.15% it at and now am prepared for a pullback.

    FOSFX 42.68 = +1.07 = 2.57%
    FNMIX 14.45 = +0.02 = 0.14% - Holding
    FLATX 33.19 = +1.21 = 3.78% - Holding
    FMCSX 26.99 = +0.42 = 1.58%
    FSLCX 18.55 = +0.25 = 1.37%
    FSESX 69.33 = +3.59 = 5.46%
    FDGRX 64.87 = +1.24 = 1.95%
    FCNTX 66.09 = +1.33 = 2.05%
    FSMKX 87.44 = +1.42 = 1.65%
    Last edited by Master; 01-03-2006 at 11:33 PM.

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    Clearly, I came out of the market too soon. Does anybody have a crystal ball? Nevertheless, the 7% in the international market did well, particularly FLATX. I expect that the exhuberant behavior will be tempered by a correction before the 10th. The S&P500 is facing considerable resistance breaking its 52 wk max.

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    FOSFX - 43.00 = +0.32 = 0.75%
    FNMIX - 14.53 = +0.08 = 0.55%
    FLATX - 33.96 = +0.77 = 2.32%
    FMCSX - 27.24 = +0.25 = 0.93%
    FSLCX - 18.76 = +0.21 = 1.13%
    FSESX - 70.47 = +1.14 = 1.64%
    FDGRX - 65.63 = +0.76 = 1.17%
    FCNTX - 66.65 = +0.56 = 0.85%
    FSMKX - 87.78 = +0.34 = 0.39%

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    Fund ------ 12/31/051/5/06 – change - % gain
    FOSFX --- $41.61 --- $42.80 -- $1.19 = +2.86%
    FNMIX --- $14.43 --- $14.52 -- $0.09 = +0.62%
    FLATX --- $31.98 --- $33.78 -- $1.80 = +5.63%
    FMCSX --- $26.57 --- $27.24 -- $0.67 = +2.52%
    FSLCX --- $18.30 --- $18.87 -- $0.57 = +3.11%
    FSESX --- $65.74 --- $69.12 -- $3.38 = +5.14%
    FDGRX -- $63.63 --- $65.93 -- $2.30 = +3.61%
    FCNTX -- $64.76 --- $66.47 -- $1.71 = +2.64%
    FSMKX -- $86.02 --- $87.78 -- $1.76 = +2.05%

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    These are the values for the market as closed on 1/6/06

    fund ------- 1/6/2006 -- daily gain -- day % --- YTD %
    FOSFX -- $ 43.23 --- +$ 0.43 --- +1.00% ---- + 3.89%
    FNMIX --- $14.56 --- + $0.04 --- + 0.28% ---- + 0.90%
    FLATX ---- $34.20 --- + $0.42 --- +1.24% ---- + 6.94%
    FMCSX -- $27.67 --- + $0.43 --- +1.58% ---- + 4.14%
    FSLCX -- $19.04 --- + $0.17 --- + 0.90% ---- + 4.04%
    FSESX -- $71.24 --- + $2.12 --- + 3.07% ---- + 8.37%
    FDGRX -- $67.01 --- + $1.08 --- + 1.64% ---- + 5.31%
    FCNTX --- $67.22 --- + $0.75 --- + 1.13% ---- + 3.80%
    FSMKX -- $88.63 --- + $0.85 --- + 0.97% ---- + 3.03%

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    Fund--------12/31/2005----1/13/2006----change--------YTD
    FOSFX--------$41.61 --------$43.10--------$1.49--------3.58%
    FNMIX--------$14.43 --------$14.55--------$0.12--------0.83%
    FLATX--------$31.98 --------$34.83--------$2.85--------8.91%
    FMCSX--------$26.57 --------$27.79--------$1.22--------4.59%
    FSLCX--------$18.30 --------$19.10--------$0.80--------4.37%
    FSESX--------$65.74 --------$72.60--------$6.86--------10.44%
    FDGRX--------$63.63 --------$67.16--------$3.53--------5.55%
    FCNTX--------$64.76 --------$67.51--------$2.75--------4.25%
    FSMKX--------$86.02 --------$88.79--------$2.77--------3.22%

    11.11% each -------> YTD - 5.08%

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    Fund--------12/31/2005------1/19/2006------change--------YTD
    FOSFX--------$41.61 -------- $ 42.72 --------$1.11--------2.67%
    FNMIX--------$14.43 -------- $ 14.63 --------$0.20--------1.39%
    FLATX--------$31.98 -------- $ 34.91 --------$2.93--------9.16%
    FMCSX-------$26.57 -------- $ 28.11 --------$1.54--------5.80%
    FSLCX--------$18.30 -------- $ 19.24 --------$0.94--------5.14%
    FSESX--------$65.74 -------- $ 75.82 -------$10.08-----15.33%
    FDGRX--------$63.63 -------- $ 67.06 --------$3.43--------5.39%
    FCNTX--------$64.76 -------- $ 67.41 --------$2.65--------4.09%
    FSMKX--------$86.02 -------- $ 88.62 --------$2.60--------3.02%


    11.11% each ---> YTD +5.78%


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    Fund--------12/31/2005--------1/24/2006--------change--------YTD
    FOSFX--------$41.61 -------- $ 42.94 -------- $ 1.33 --------3.20%
    FNMIX--------$14.43 -------- $ 14.68 -------- $ 0.25 --------1.73%
    FLATX--------$31.98 -------- $ 35.87 -------- $ 3.89 ------12.16%
    FMCSX-------$26.57 -------- $ 28.09 -------- $ 1.52 --------5.72%
    FSLCX-------$18.30 -------- $ 19.26 -------- $ 0.96 --------5.25%
    FSESX--------$65.74 ------- $ 77.75 ------- $ 12.01 ------18.27%
    FDGRX-------$63.63 -------- $ 65.86 -------- $ 2.23 --------3.50%
    FCNTX--------$64.76 -------- $ 67.15 -------- $ 2.39 --------3.69%
    FSMKX--------$86.02 -------- $ 87.37 -------- $ 1.35 --------1.57%

    11.11% each ===> YTD +6.12%

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    Fund--------12/31/2005--------1/25/2006--------change--------YTD
    FOSFX--------$41.61 -------- $ 43.12 -------- $ 1.51 --------3.63%
    FNMIX--------$14.43 -------- $ 14.64 -------- $ 0.21 --------1.46%
    FLATX--------$31.98 -------- $ 35.81 -------- $ 3.83 --------11.98%
    FMCSX--------$26.57 -------- $ 27.99 -------- $ 1.42 --------5.34%
    FSLCX--------$18.30 -------- $ 19.30 -------- $ 1.00 --------5.46%
    FSESX--------$65.74 -------- $ 75.43 -------- $ 9.69 --------14.74%
    FDGRX--------$63.63 -------- $ 65.54 -------- $ 1.91 --------3.00%
    FCNTX--------$64.76 -------- $ 66.88 -------- $ 2.12 --------3.27%
    FSMKX--------$86.02 -------- $ 87.23 -------- $ 1.21 --------1.41%

    11.11% each ===> YTD +5.59%

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    I am going to keep this portafolio as my recommendation for an AGGRESSIVE investor with >89% in stocks and the most risky bonds. This describes my wife's IRA portafolio. Today, I decided to adopt an even more aggressive stand (MOST AGGRESSIVE) with a group of funds for buy and hold for several months. I bought (between 1-3 pm) several funds for my Fidelity IRA. I will describe the allocation and funds in a separate thread keeping this current portafolio as

    The AGGRESSIVE Investor with >20 years to retirement.

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