Sold today before 3pm deadline all my holdings on FOSFX (40% of total) as the EFA index is picking up a hefty amount. Position in Cash is now 93% ready for January dip.
International - 46%
FOSFX - Hold - $41.61
FNMIX - Hold - $14.43 (Emergent Market Bonds)
FLATX - Hold - $31.98
Mid-Caps - 0%
FMCSX - Sold - waiting to buy - $26.57
FSLCX - Sold - looking soon to buy - $18.30 (Small-cap -really mid-cap)
Sector - Energy - 0%
FSESX - Sold - waiting to buy (under $60) - $65.74
Large-Cap Growth - 0%
FGDRX - Sold - waiting to buy - $63.63
FCNTX - Sold - waiting to buy - $64.76
FSMKX - Sold - waiting to buy - $86.02 (S&P-500)
Cash Funds waiting to buy - 54%
FDRXX - Hold - $1.00
This portafolio with several fund exchanges gave me +19.96% in 2005. I am about 80% technician looking at both weekly and daily MACDs as primary indicators, but use 20% or so gut-feeling (being burned a few times). Take a look at one example:
Check the MACD of FOSFX http://stockcharts.com/gallery/?FOSFX, a fund that I am still holding on. According to technician theory regarding MACDs, one should sell as the Bearish Moving Average Crossovers
see: http://www.stockcharts.com/education...dic_MACD1.html for explanation.
In my view, January will be bearish, but there is quite a bit of money coming into the market. Thus, I will hold for an extra few days, as the choices for money will drive those funds up. I am hoping to sell FOSFX in a week or two if conditions look right.
I will try to post my moves on a timely fashion through the year.
Sold today before 3pm deadline all my holdings on FOSFX (40% of total) as the EFA index is picking up a hefty amount. Position in Cash is now 93% ready for January dip.
Keep in mind that many Fidelity funds have a significant penalty (>1%) for trading under 30 days and some, like the FLATX for 90 days. The gain today (1/3) for share prices was phenomenal. I bought FOSFX at 38.26 on 11/10 (posted at my TSP talk thread), received dividens on 12/2, and sold today at 42.68 for a gain of 13.15% it at and now am prepared for a pullback.
FOSFX 42.68 = +1.07 = 2.57%![]()
FNMIX 14.45 = +0.02 = 0.14% - Holding
FLATX 33.19 = +1.21 = 3.78% - Holding
FMCSX 26.99 = +0.42 = 1.58%
FSLCX 18.55 = +0.25 = 1.37%
FSESX 69.33 = +3.59 = 5.46%
FDGRX 64.87 = +1.24 = 1.95%
FCNTX 66.09 = +1.33 = 2.05%
FSMKX 87.44 = +1.42 = 1.65%
Last edited by Master; 01-03-2006 at 11:33 PM.
Clearly, I came out of the market too soon. Does anybody have a crystal ball? Nevertheless, the 7% in the international market did well, particularly FLATX. I expect that the exhuberant behavior will be tempered by a correction before the 10th. The S&P500 is facing considerable resistance breaking its 52 wk max.
Fund ------ 12/31/05 – 1/5/06 – change - % gain
FOSFX --- $41.61 --- $42.80 -- $1.19 = +2.86%
FNMIX --- $14.43 --- $14.52 -- $0.09 = +0.62%
FLATX --- $31.98 --- $33.78 -- $1.80 = +5.63%
FMCSX --- $26.57 --- $27.24 -- $0.67 = +2.52%
FSLCX --- $18.30 --- $18.87 -- $0.57 = +3.11%
FSESX --- $65.74 --- $69.12 -- $3.38 = +5.14%
FDGRX -- $63.63 --- $65.93 -- $2.30 = +3.61%
FCNTX -- $64.76 --- $66.47 -- $1.71 = +2.64%
FSMKX -- $86.02 --- $87.78 -- $1.76 = +2.05%
These are the values for the market as closed on 1/6/06
fund ------- 1/6/2006 -- daily gain -- day % --- YTD %
FOSFX -- $ 43.23 --- +$ 0.43 --- +1.00% ---- + 3.89%
FNMIX --- $14.56 --- + $0.04 --- + 0.28% ---- + 0.90%
FLATX ---- $34.20 --- + $0.42 --- +1.24% ---- + 6.94%
FMCSX -- $27.67 --- + $0.43 --- +1.58% ---- + 4.14%
FSLCX -- $19.04 --- + $0.17 --- + 0.90% ---- + 4.04%
FSESX -- $71.24 --- + $2.12 --- + 3.07% ---- + 8.37%
FDGRX -- $67.01 --- + $1.08 --- + 1.64% ---- + 5.31%
FCNTX --- $67.22 --- + $0.75 --- + 1.13% ---- + 3.80%
FSMKX -- $88.63 --- + $0.85 --- + 0.97% ---- + 3.03%
Fund--------12/31/2005----1/13/2006----change--------YTD
FOSFX--------$41.61 --------$43.10--------$1.49--------3.58%
FNMIX--------$14.43 --------$14.55--------$0.12--------0.83%
FLATX--------$31.98 --------$34.83--------$2.85--------8.91%
FMCSX--------$26.57 --------$27.79--------$1.22--------4.59%
FSLCX--------$18.30 --------$19.10--------$0.80--------4.37%
FSESX--------$65.74 --------$72.60--------$6.86--------10.44%
FDGRX--------$63.63 --------$67.16--------$3.53--------5.55%
FCNTX--------$64.76 --------$67.51--------$2.75--------4.25%
FSMKX--------$86.02 --------$88.79--------$2.77--------3.22%
11.11% each -------> YTD - 5.08%
Fund--------12/31/2005------1/19/2006------change--------YTD
FOSFX--------$41.61 -------- $ 42.72 --------$1.11--------2.67%
FNMIX--------$14.43 -------- $ 14.63 --------$0.20--------1.39%
FLATX--------$31.98 -------- $ 34.91 --------$2.93--------9.16%
FMCSX-------$26.57 -------- $ 28.11 --------$1.54--------5.80%
FSLCX--------$18.30 -------- $ 19.24 --------$0.94--------5.14%
FSESX--------$65.74 -------- $ 75.82 -------$10.08-----15.33%
FDGRX--------$63.63 -------- $ 67.06 --------$3.43--------5.39%
FCNTX--------$64.76 -------- $ 67.41 --------$2.65--------4.09%
FSMKX--------$86.02 -------- $ 88.62 --------$2.60--------3.02%
11.11% each ---> YTD +5.78%
Fund--------12/31/2005--------1/24/2006--------change--------YTD
FOSFX--------$41.61 -------- $ 42.94 -------- $ 1.33 --------3.20%
FNMIX--------$14.43 -------- $ 14.68 -------- $ 0.25 --------1.73%
FLATX--------$31.98 -------- $ 35.87 -------- $ 3.89 ------12.16%
FMCSX-------$26.57 -------- $ 28.09 -------- $ 1.52 --------5.72%
FSLCX-------$18.30 -------- $ 19.26 -------- $ 0.96 --------5.25%
FSESX--------$65.74 ------- $ 77.75 ------- $ 12.01 ------18.27%
FDGRX-------$63.63 -------- $ 65.86 -------- $ 2.23 --------3.50%
FCNTX--------$64.76 -------- $ 67.15 -------- $ 2.39 --------3.69%
FSMKX--------$86.02 -------- $ 87.37 -------- $ 1.35 --------1.57%
11.11% each ===> YTD +6.12%
Fund--------12/31/2005--------1/25/2006--------change--------YTD
FOSFX--------$41.61 -------- $ 43.12 -------- $ 1.51 --------3.63%
FNMIX--------$14.43 -------- $ 14.64 -------- $ 0.21 --------1.46%
FLATX--------$31.98 -------- $ 35.81 -------- $ 3.83 --------11.98%
FMCSX--------$26.57 -------- $ 27.99 -------- $ 1.42 --------5.34%
FSLCX--------$18.30 -------- $ 19.30 -------- $ 1.00 --------5.46%
FSESX--------$65.74 -------- $ 75.43 -------- $ 9.69 --------14.74%
FDGRX--------$63.63 -------- $ 65.54 -------- $ 1.91 --------3.00%
FCNTX--------$64.76 -------- $ 66.88 -------- $ 2.12 --------3.27%
FSMKX--------$86.02 -------- $ 87.23 -------- $ 1.21 --------1.41%
11.11% each ===> YTD +5.59%
I am going to keep this portafolio as my recommendation for an AGGRESSIVE investor with >89% in stocks and the most risky bonds. This describes my wife's IRA portafolio. Today, I decided to adopt an even more aggressive stand (MOST AGGRESSIVE) with a group of funds for buy and hold for several months. I bought (between 1-3 pm) several funds for my Fidelity IRA. I will describe the allocation and funds in a separate thread keeping this current portafolio as
The AGGRESSIVE Investor with >20 years to retirement.
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S&P 500 (C fund) 1d 5d 3m 6m 1y 2y | Dow Completion (S fund)
| EFA (I fund) 1d 5d 3m 6m 1y 2y | Bonds (F fund)
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