Thread: userque & NUGT/DUST

Interesting reversal signal... let's see if it holds...

Originally Posted by userque

FOR 10-05-15 AT OPEN:
ENTER NUGT


FORECASTED DURATION: TBD

* System is now expected to trade more frequently after recent improvements. I'll be reducing my position size per trade in order to work around the T+3 rules.






__________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ ____________________
DISCLAIMER: Userque's trading signals are not affiliated with TSP Talk or Buy Low Sell High, Inc. The information is for educational purposes only! The information is not advice or recommendations. The information may be revised at anytime. Userque does not give investment advice. Do not act on this data. Do not buy, sell or trade any stocks, ETF's, indices, funds, or any other instruments/vehicles based on this information. Userque may trade differently than discussed or posted in this forum.

Originally Posted by userque

I just finished the (latest) GDX model upgrade.

I take that back. This model is optimized for a four day forecast (Cash account time frame); yet, it trades almost at a daytrader frequency. (11 trades in 22 days in my most recent backtest. Nine wins, two loses.)

I will re-optimize it for a daytrading time frame--two days. This should make it even more accurate, more often. Should take an additional "day" of computations before it's ready...by tomorrow if all goes well.

FOR 10-05-15 AT CLOSE:
HOLD NUGT


FOR 10-06-15 AT OPEN:
HOLD NUGT


* Forecasted duration no longer supplied as beginning soon, all forecasts will be of a day-trading time-frame.






__________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ ____________________
DISCLAIMER: Userque's trading signals are not affiliated with TSP Talk or Buy Low Sell High, Inc. The information is for educational purposes only! The information is not advice or recommendations. The information may be revised at anytime. Userque does not give investment advice. Do not act on this data. Do not buy, sell or trade any stocks, ETF's, indices, funds, or any other instruments/vehicles based on this information. Userque may trade differently than discussed or posted in this forum.

FOR 10-06-15 AT OPEN:
HOLD NUGT






__________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ ____________________
DISCLAIMER: Userque's trading signals are not affiliated with TSP Talk or Buy Low Sell High, Inc. The information is for educational purposes only! The information is not advice or recommendations. The information may be revised at anytime. Userque does not give investment advice. Do not act on this data. Do not buy, sell or trade any stocks, ETF's, indices, funds, or any other instruments/vehicles based on this information. Userque may trade differently than discussed or posted in this forum.

And?

Originally Posted by userque

FOR 10-06-15 AT OPEN:
HOLD NUGT






__________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ ____________________
DISCLAIMER: Userque's trading signals are not affiliated with TSP Talk or Buy Low Sell High, Inc. The information is for educational purposes only! The information is not advice or recommendations. The information may be revised at anytime. Userque does not give investment advice. Do not act on this data. Do not buy, sell or trade any stocks, ETF's, indices, funds, or any other instruments/vehicles based on this information. Userque may trade differently than discussed or posted in this forum.

FOR 10-06-15 AT CLOSE:
HOLD NUGT


FOR 10-07-15 AT OPEN:
ENTER DUST






__________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ ____________________
DISCLAIMER: Userque's trading signals are not affiliated with TSP Talk or Buy Low Sell High, Inc. The information is for educational purposes only! The information is not advice or recommendations. The information may be revised at anytime. Userque does not give investment advice. Do not act on this data. Do not buy, sell or trade any stocks, ETF's, indices, funds, or any other instruments/vehicles based on this information. Userque may trade differently than discussed or posted in this forum.

Originally Posted by RealMoneyIssues

And?

Thanks for the poke...but I'm woke.

System uses the High and the Low prices of the day, among other stuff, so I wait as late as possible to make the call.

I'll be adding code so that I can simulate "what-if" prices for those days where we are trading near the high/low near the close. (Not today, of course). Now, I do the "what-ifs" by typing in possible/probable closing highs/lows, changing by a penny each time.

Originally Posted by userque

FOR 10-06-15 AT CLOSE:
HOLD NUGT

FOR 10-07-15 AT OPEN:
ENTER DUST

By request, I've added a T+3 forecast.

The current model trades more frequently than some would prefer, as they paper-trade and monitor this system.

Although the T+3 forecast is not optimized, like I would prefer; I don't have the time or computer resources to take on another model under these circumstances. But the current model does output additional information as a byproduct, which I have tapped and modified into a Swing, or T+3 forecast.

So while I'm going to DUST this morning, the T+3 forecast likes staying in NUGT, forecasted duration: until next Monday.

IOW, I have no idea how well T+3 will do. It is not optimized; nor was it tested. I don't trade with it. But as best as I can tell, it should work.

If I were to trade it, I know I probably wouldn't enter/exit a trade until BOTH forecasts agree...if I enter at all--taking into account the T+3 rule time restrictions. IOW, there would probably be times where I would be in cash for a bit...if I were using T+3.




__________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ ____________________
DISCLAIMER: Userque's trading signals are not affiliated with TSP Talk or Buy Low Sell High, Inc. The information is for educational purposes only! The information is not advice or recommendations. The information may be revised at anytime. Userque does not give investment advice. Do not act on this data. Do not buy, sell or trade any stocks, ETF's, indices, funds, or any other instruments/vehicles based on this information. Userque may trade differently than discussed or posted in this forum.

FOR 10-07-15 AT CLOSE:
HOLD DUST


FOR 10-08-15 AT OPEN:
ENTER NUGT


T+3 ON 10-07-15 AT CLOSE:
HOLD NUGT

T+3 DURATION: 6 TRADING DAY(S)






__________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ ____________________
DISCLAIMER: Userque's trading signals are not affiliated with TSP Talk or Buy Low Sell High, Inc. The information is for educational purposes only! The information is not advice or recommendations. The information may be revised at anytime. Userque does not give investment advice. Do not act on this data. Do not buy, sell or trade any stocks, ETF's, indices, funds, or any other instruments/vehicles based on this information. Userque may trade differently than discussed or posted in this forum.

Sudden tankage in Gold and Silver futures.

And?

Originally Posted by userque

Sudden tankage in Gold and Silver futures.

Originally Posted by userque

FOR 10-07-15 AT CLOSE:
HOLD DUST


FOR 10-08-15 AT OPEN:
ENTER NUGT


T+3 ON 10-07-15 AT CLOSE:
HOLD NUGT

T+3 DURATION: 6 TRADING DAY(S)






__________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ __________________________________________________ ____________________
DISCLAIMER: Userque's trading signals are not affiliated with TSP Talk or Buy Low Sell High, Inc. The information is for educational purposes only! The information is not advice or recommendations. The information may be revised at anytime. Userque does not give investment advice. Do not act on this data. Do not buy, sell or trade any stocks, ETF's, indices, funds, or any other instruments/vehicles based on this information. Userque may trade differently than discussed or posted in this forum.