Thread: F Fund low?

The 30 year bond did bounce off of that 6 month support but the iShares (AGG) did not. It seems to be in no man's land right now. No support or resistance (other than moving averages) around. A short term bounceis possible but I still prefer the G fund as the safe haven.

I've been keeping an eye on it, too. Wait and see.

I see no reason to put money in the F fund until interest rates are nearing a top. We are a long ways away from that happening.

And yet, over the last 30 days, the F-fund has been our best performer. I believe I will put a few $$ in there this week, taken from the G-fund, and see if it works out.

Dave

On the 25th I bought some F-fund at 10.58. It closed Friday at 10.64, up eight cents in five trading days. That is about 10 times the G-fund rate so my small percentage investment is doing quite well comparatively.

Dave

We could be one or two rate increases away from a top on interest rates... that, combined with what is likely to be a looming pullback in the equity side means I'm actually in the F fund right now... :shock:

Mike wrote:

We could be one or two rate increases away from a top on interest rates... that, combined with what is likely to be a looming pullback in the equity side means I'm actually in the F fund right now... :shock:

It is about to bounce back from the support line. The rebound should be a goodentry point ...

I believe its time for the F fund to give a good return for at least the next week....

One of the things to take a look at about the F fund is it basically tracks the rate of increase of the G fund over the long term.....but here is the kicker, it does it with larger rates of increases at times greater than the G fund then sometimes recedes in the negative for a period...its just mirrors the G fund over long term but cycles up and down and around the constant G...the key here is to catch it as it cycles up and then get out in its down period.

Right at the moment, I believe we will experience a greater rate of change than the G fund and is a good time to get in if you're not in the Stocks....which look to be peaking out....

Looking for the F fund to outperform the G over the next 5 or so days....then expect a negative return....

:^

If I'm correct on the F fund valued at 6.49% on my scale and the G fund at 7.5% and that the F fund needs to come up to the G Fund then that makes a 1% rise coming over the next week.....of course this is based on the fact that I'm not expecting a F Fund collapse.....

Lets see if we get the 1% riser over the next week....

I forgot to mention that the F fund appears to be 180 degrees out of phase with the S&P since around 17 June....if this is maintained then that means we should expect the S&P to drop while the F fund goes up.....

Question is....Is this a signal that the market is giving way to treasuries as the investment of the future for a couple of years???? It would be timely since I firmly believe the market is nearing the start of its demise in Sept and Oct......

Too many factors giving poor signals at this time to be very confident of the market....

I haven't traded much since I haven't gotten a good handle of what is happening in the market, but I project a 10%+ return for the year if I keep this rate up.....I do expect to get a better handle of the market trends as I go and should increase this return.....

:^

Hope you're right - I've taken a two cent loss in it thus far. :P