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Thread: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

  1. #1033

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    ANALYSIS, PERSPECTIVE, TRADING STRATEGY

    WELCOME TO THE BRAVE NEW DIGITAL WORLD WHERE ROBOTS,
    NOT PEOPLE MOVE MARKETS
    Editor Joe Duarte in the Money Options, May 13, 2018

    After a successful sneak attack on the unsuspecting bears over the last couple of weeks it’s now decision time for the robots as the stock market continues to follow a digitally precise textbook case of technical trading while the news cycle becomes uncertain.

    Two weeks ago in this space I noted “I may be overplaying the contrarian card, but it looks as if the most under-loved stock market in the past eighteen months is setting up for what could be a fairly profitable trading rally.” I made this prediction based on the general tendency of robot trading algorithms to combine programmed responses to news headlines with basic technical analysis support and resistance levels to launch market moving trading programs. Furthermore because most technical traders don’t pay attention to the 200-day moving average, that particular chart area seemed like a ripe support level for a simple robot like sneak attack on the market.

    Indeed, I was correct, and since I made that prediction, the S & P 500 has gained nearly three percent and has broken above what had been a key pivot point on the price charts near 2700. So now that the cat’s out of the bag, the real question is whether the robot traders will pile on and take SPX back toward the 2800 area or whether the rally is essentially over.

    https://www.joeduarteinthemoneyoptio...reports/TA.asp

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  3. #1034

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    We could move lower, but getting close to a cycle low, and a bounce.

    $GOLD | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

    Bob Loukas

    @BobLoukas
    23h23 hours ago
    More
    I've mapped 20 years of weekly gold Cycles. Never seen a 6th Daily Cycle in any weekly Cycle. Chart shows how we have 2 weeks left in this Weekly Cycle. BIG buy around turn of month. $GLD $SLV $GDX

    https://twitter.com/BobLoukas?ref_sr...ium-reports%2F

    Is Another Drop Ahead For Tech Stocks?

    Summary
    We provide an example of how we are using the OPEX Price Magnets to trade ETFs.

    We discuss technical signals that support a possible decline of QQQ in the days ahead.

    We provide an overview of the Price Magnets and provide data to support our short thesis.

    https://seekingalpha.com/article/417...Roadblock=true


    Has Gold Bottomed Yet?
    May 17, 2018 1:28 AM ET

    Summary
    We review how Fed rate increases often coincide with cycle low for gold prices.

    We look at key support levels for gold priced in USD on a weekly chart.

    We look at support levels for gold priced in Chinese Yuan on a weekly chart.

    https://seekingalpha.com/article/417...Roadblock=true

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  5. #1035

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    We shall see!

    Greg Hunter
    Published on May 19, 2018

    Where does renowned financial and geopolitical analyst Martin Armstrong see big trouble brewing? Look no further than the bond market. Armstrong explains, “The bond market is going down. . . . We’ve already started into it. . . .You have to understand both Japan and Europe have destroyed their bond markets. They have completely and utterly destroyed them. They are the buyers. That’s it. There is no pension fund that can buy 10-year paper at 1.3% when they need 8% to break even. They are locking in a 10 year loss. They can’t do it. We have been helping major funds shift into equities because it is the only place they can go. . . . Once you start seeing the cracks in Europe, you are going to see interest rates rise faster than you have ever contemplated in your life. There is nobody in their right mind that can buy an Italian bond at 1.3%. It’s just not going to happen. Once the ECB is forced to stop, those rates are going to jump to 10% instantaneously. Once it starts to crack, that’s it, it’s gone. What is going to make everyone know it is cracking is when you see rates going up dramatically, and the ECB is at a point it just can’t buy any more.”

    Armstrong does not see a big War in the near term, but one is brewing in the Middle East. What Armstrong does see right now is “increasing civil unrest.”

    On gold, Armstrong sees the yellow metal “fighting a stronger dollar” but predicts it will have its day sometime after 2020 to 2021.

    Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with financial and geopolitical expert Martin Armstrong.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DFRuRoqLKZU


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  7. #1036

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    Another go at the highs today.... The HYG indicator is sending out a warning signal...

    VXF | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

    Gold and the miners.... A ICL is close.... Watching the dollar

    $GOLD | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

    GDXJ | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

    Long GDXJ and (ST trading TZA today)

    Hallmark of an Economic Ponzi Scheme
    Print Friendly, PDF & Email




    John P. Hussman, Ph.D.

    June 2018

    Hallmark of an Economic Ponzi Scheme

    The hallmark of an economic Ponzi scheme is that the operation of the economy relies on the constant creation of low-grade debt in order to finance consumption and income shortfalls among some members of the economy, using the massive surpluses earned by other members of the economy.

    https://www.hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc180604/

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  9. #1037

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    I'm doing lots of swing trading this year. If you are long stocks we are close to completing some cycle patterns and a pullback. A move below the 9 DMA now has above average odds....

    Good trading.

    VXF is like the S Fund and the trades are free at Vanguard.

    VXF | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

    $SPX | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

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  11. #1038

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    For those trading the metals/miners - We are getting late in the cycle and the odds for a move up are getting close....

    Weekly

    $GOLD | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

    Daily

    $GOLD | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

    Short-term Traders

    GDXJ | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

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  13. #1039

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    Swing trade data chart using SQQQ and TQQQ. These trades are kept small in size when I place them. I'll be looking for another VXF trade once we get closer to the next ICL.

    The SOS numbers continue to be very high and are a warning signal to reduce long positions as we get deeper in the daily cycle.

    https://likesmoneycycletrading.wordp...-over-again-2/

    Money Flows: Selling on Strength - Markets Data Center - WSJ.com

    TQQQ | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

    Good trading and investing!

    Sentiment data:

    The VIX at 9 again! Amazing....

    Featured Chart | Technical Analysis Group
    Last edited by robo; 06-06-2018 at 07:19 PM.

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  15. #1040

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    I'm short-term trading the TZA extreme and the VXF pattern is almost complete...



    BULLISH but... VIX hourly/daily BUY (SPX sell) - Fearless Forecasters - Traders-Talk.com

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  17. #1041

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    The Small trader call buying and ROBO (Put/call ratio) numbers are both hitting an extreme again. The numbers are close to the Jan top. We shall see how that plays out the next few weeks.

    This data can be found at Sentiment Trader if you are a sub.
    https://sentimentrader.com/

    Next week look for the Boyz to try and hit some of their targets.
    2018 options expiration and triple witching hour calendar

    $SPX | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

    Good trading next week.

    VXF

    VXF | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

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  19. #1042

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    Default Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    So it's now day 28 of this cycle.... We should be seeing increased selling pressure the next several days... Maybe the (BBB's) will save the Bulls. So we shall see if the Buy Back BOTS can extend this cycle, or maybe another tweet from the Boss will cause the next move.

    Waiting on the next trade...

    Sentiment data is on the charts. TSP Bulls was 61% and the raw data on this chart was 75%. VIX at 10%

    Featured Chart | Technical Analysis Group

    $SPX | SharpChart | StockCharts.com


    VXF | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

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  21. #1043

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  23. #1044

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