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Thread: January Barometer

  1. #1

    Default January Barometer

    Good morning everyone,

    Here's an interesting look at the January Barometer that I thought I'd share:


    since 1961, the S&P 500 has finished January positive 33 times (34 including 2017)


    of those 33 instances, the index went on to finish the year higher 28 times for an impressive 84.9% win rate


    the average profit for Feb-Dec in those 33 years has been 10.4%, and the average profit for Feb-Dec in the 28 "winning" years was 13.9%.
    James Koford, CFP®


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  3. #2

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    Default Re: January Barometer

    So you are buying and holding the rest of the year?

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  5. #3

    Default Re: January Barometer

    That is correct. The results are based on buying the last day of Jan and selling the last day of Dec.

    Quote Originally Posted by Intrepid_Timer View Post
    So you are buying and holding the rest of the year?

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  7. #4

    Default Re: January Barometer

    Quote Originally Posted by Intrepid_Timer View Post
    So you are buying and holding the rest of the year?
    By "you" I assume he means someone who follows this method.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  9. #5

    Default Re: January Barometer

    Yes, that was my assumption as well. "You" as in the rhetorical you, not "you" as in "you yourself".

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    By "you" I assume he means someone who follows this method.
    James Koford, CFP®

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