It's either the Santa Claus Rally or the Grench Pull-back!........![]()
The Week Ahead
Last Update: 28-Dec-07 09:21 ET
The coming week sees the current year draw to a close and the new year begin. In recognition of the latter, the market will be closed Tuesday.
By and large, the Earnings Calendar will be an afterthought in the coming week as there are just a handful of companies slated to report their quarterly results. Monsanto (MON) and Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) are the headliners on the short list of reporters.
The Economic Calendar, on the other hand, will be a focal point as several noteworthy reports are on the docket. In particular, there is the November Existing Home Sales report on Monday, the December ISM Index, which is a gauge of national manufacturing activity, on Wednesday, and the December Employment report on Friday.
The minutes from the Dec. 11 FOMC meeting will be released Wednesday afternoon.
As a reminder, the Santa Claus Rally period, which spans the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the new year, has produced an average gain of 1.5% since 1950, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. Three trading sessions into this period, the S&P 500 is down 0.6%, so Santa still has some work to do.
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Monday, December 31:
Tuesday, January 1: Market Closed
- Earnings: Piedmont (PNY)
- Economic Data: November Existing Home Sales
- Events: Early close for Treasury market (1:00 PM ET)
- Conferences: No conferences are scheduled at this time
- Fed Speakers: None
Wednesday, January 2:
Thursday, January 3:
- Earnings: No companies have confirmed scheduled announcements at this time
- Economic Data: November Construction Spending, December ISM Index
- Events: Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting minutes released (2:00 PM ET)
- Conferences: No conferences are scheduled at this time
- Fed Speakers: None
Friday, January 4:
- Earnings:Monsanto (MON), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), Finish Line (FINL), Global Payment (GPN), Sonic (SONC)
- Economic Data: December Auto and Truck Sales, December ADP Employment, Initial Jobless Claims (week ending Dec. 29), November Factory Orders
- Events: None
- Conferences: No conferences are scheduled at this time
- Fed Speakers: None
--Jeffrey Ham, Briefing.com
- Earnings: AZZ, Inc. (AZZ)
- Economic Data: December Employment Report, December ISM Services Index
- Events: None
- Conferences: No conferences are scheduled at this time
- Fed Speakers: Fed Vice Chairman Kohn addresses economists in New Orleans (11:15 AM ET), Fed Monetary Affairs Director Madigan addresses economists in New Orleans (3:30 PM ET)
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." -- Thomas Jefferson
It's either the Santa Claus Rally or the Grench Pull-back!........![]()
New Year Set for a Negative Start
Last Update: 31-Dec-07 16:33 ET
Price level vs. 4 pm ET: Despite some encouraging news on the housing front, the major averages closed lower on Monday, the last day of a difficult year, as overarching concerns about the economy continued to weigh on investor sentiment.
Nine out of ten economic sectors posted losses today.
For 2007, the Dow Jones Industrials average gained 6.4%, while the broader S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 3.5% and 9.8%, respectively. The Nasdaq 100 finished 18.7% higher on the year, while the Russell 2000 ended the year down 2.8%.
A slightly negative tone dictates the after hours session. The S&P 500 futures, at 1477.20, are less than a point below fair value, while the Nasdaq 100 futures, at 2104.75, are slightly below fair value.
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." -- Thomas Jefferson
S&P 500 did 3.5% that stinks, but is better than a negative number.
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." -- Thomas Jefferson
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." -- Thomas Jefferson
Today: Events: Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting minutes released (2:00 PM ET) and November Construction Spending, December ISM Index.
According to the STA the Jan. 3rd is a strong day.
Good luck!
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." -- Thomas Jefferson
Nonfarm payroll missed big. Trays in the upright position, turbulence ahead.
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." -- Thomas Jefferson
Wow, what a ride. All gaps are fill and the PPT is getting ready for a save the day maneuver.
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." -- Thomas Jefferson
The Week Ahead
Last Update: 04-Jan-08 09:04 ET
http://www.briefing.com/GeneralConte...44LookingAhead
Business gets back to usual now that the holidays have passed and the kids are back in school. The key happenings during the week will be the Consumer Electronics show, the same-store sales reports from the retailers, and a speech on the economic outlook from Fed Chairman Bernanke.
Separately, in light of Friday's weaker than expected payrolls report, the weekly initial claims number on Thursday will receive increased attention. Similarly, now that oil prices have pierced the $100 per barrel mark, the weekly inventory report from the Dept. of Energy will remain a focal point. Further details on the economic data can be previewed via the links on our Economic Calendar.
An array of companies are scheduled to report their latest earnings results next week, including Briefing.com Active Portfolio holding Immucor (BLUD). Other companies slated to announce include KB Home (KBH), Mosaic (MOS),and Alcoa (AA). The latter company's report will mark the official start of the fourth quarter earnings reporting season. A complete schedule can be previewed on Briefing.com's Earnings Calendar.
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Monday, January 7:
Tuesday, January 8:
- Earnings: Immucor (BLUD), Lawson Software (LWSN)
- Economic Data: None
- Events: None
- Conferences: JP Morgan Healthcare Conference, Consumer Electronics Assoc. Conference and Show, Credit Suisse Group Investor Reception, JP Morgan Tech Forum
- Fed Speakers: Atlanta Fed President Lockhart speaks on U.S. economic outlook in Atlanta (12:40 PM ET)
Wednesday, January 9:
- Earnings: Acuity Brands (AYI), Constellation Brands (STZ), Family Dollar (FDO), KB Home (KBH), Supervalu (SVU), Apollo Group (APOL)
- Economic Data: November Pending Home Sales, November Consumer Credit
- Events: None
- Conferences: Annual Needham Growth Conference, Consumer Electronics Assoc. Conference and Show, Citigroup Entertainment Conference, JP Morgan Global Energy Day, JP Morgan Healthcare Conference, Pritchard Capital Partners Energize Conference, Raymond James Government Services & Technology Summit
- Fed Speakers: Philadelphia Fed President Plosser speaks on economic outlook in PA (8:20 AM ET), Boston Fed President Rosengren speaks at economic conference in CT (10:50 AM ET)
Thursday, January 10:
- Earnings: Mosaic(MOS), Alcoa (AA), Ruby Tuesday (RT), Helen of Troy (HELE), WD-40 Co. (WDFC)
- Economic Data: None
- Events: VF Corp. Analyst Meeting
- Conferences: Annual Needham Growth Conference, Consumer Electronics Assoc. Conference and Show, Citigroup Entertainment Conference, JP Morgan Healthcare Conference, Pritchard Capital Partners Energize Conference
- Fed Speakers: St. Louis Fed President Poole discusses U.S. economic activity in St. Louis (9:30 AM ET)
Friday, January 11:
- Earnings:Shuffle Master (SHFL), IHS Inc. (IHS)
- Economic Data: Initial Jobless Claims (week ending Jan. 5), November Wholesale Inventories, Crude Inventories (week ending Jan. 5)
- Events: Merit Medical Supplies Investor Meeting, December Same-Store Sales
- Conferences: Annual Needham Growth Conference, Consumer Electronics Assoc. Conference and Show, Citigroup Entertainment Conference, JP Morgan Healthcare Conference
- Fed Speakers: Fed Chairman Bernanke speaks on economic outlook (1:00 PM ET), Kansas City Fed President Hoenig speaks in Kansas City regarding U.S. economic outlook (1:00 PM ET)
--Jeffrey Ham, Briefing.com
- Earnings: Infosys(INFY)
- Economic Data: December Import and Export Prices, November Trade Balance, December Treasury Budget
- Events: Merit Medical Supplies Investor Meeting
- Conferences: Annual Needham Growth Conference
- Fed Speakers: Fed Governor Mishkin on monetary policy flexibility, risk management and financial disruptions (12:45 ET), Boston Fed President Rosengren speaks at an economic outlook conference in VT (1:00 PM ET)
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." -- Thomas Jefferson
Pluge Protection Team (PPT)
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080105/bush_economy.html
AP
White House Considering Stimulus Package
Saturday January 5, 7:26 am ET
By Martin Crutsinger, AP Economics Writer Bush Administration Considering a Possible Economic Stimulus Package to Ward Off Recession
WASHINGTON (AP) -- The Bush administration, faced with a deteriorating economy and a big jump in unemployment, said Friday it was considering an economic stimulus package that might include tax cuts to ward off a recession.
Officials stressed that President Bush has not decided yet to offer a proposal but was looking at a variety of options with a plan possibly being unveiled around the time of his Jan. 28 State of the Union address.
"The president is always looking at options ... always talking to people and looking at data," Commerce Secretary Carlos Gutierrez said in an interview with The Associated Press.
Bush met Friday with top economic officials including Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, who are part of the president's working group on financial markets, a group formed after the 1987 stock market crash to monitor markets.
The president was given an assessment of how the economy is behaving and how financial markets are performing after the severe credit squeeze that hit in August. A number of big financial institutions have declared multibillon-dollar losses because of rising defaults in the subprime mortgage market. White House spokesman Tony Fratto said tax cuts were an option being considered.
More at link.
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." -- Thomas Jefferson
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