Thread: Ebbnflow's Day-to-Day Chart / MAY'07

ebbchart patterns:

For what it's worth:

............THU..FRI..MON
C-fund.....
S-fund....
I-fund.....

The System uses the ebbtracker's I-fund with simple cross-checking rules:

a) Two or more stop signs = safe haven (G/F-fund).
b) Two or more dollar signs = stocks (I-fund).

Following the above rules, I'm on the F-fund for Thursday/May 03 (2 stops) and Friday/May 04 (2 stops). It's the G-fund for next Monday/May 07 (2 stops).

Howxotk, since the ebbtracker only tries to match the closest past historical patterns it can find, there's no guarantee the same results will prevail in the present. Through the trading technique employed by my use of patterns, trends and cycles, I know I will miss some gains, but I will also miss a lot of dips. Hopefully, I'd miss more of the latter.

I have finally tabulated the ebbchart's tally (going back since January 16) using the spreadsheet provided on this site. The only tweak/change I made was the elimination of the S-fund. I now only use the I-fund when going to stocks. Otherwise, the simple rules of cross-checking remains the same:

a) Two or more stop signs = safe haven (G/F-fund).
b) Two or more green signs = stocks (I-fund).

My ebbnflow tally won't reflect the ebbchart's results exactly because I haven't followed it correctly from the start. But by following the simple rules stated above the ebbchart's tally should be accurate.

Gee Ebb,

According to your chart. I'll sleep in Monday. Tuesday I'll put the equipment in the Lilly Pad (boat). Wednesday I'll start her up. Thursday and Friday are the best Fishing days*.

*RE: Calendar from Mike's Hardware and Pblg. 2007

Regards

Spaf

Ebb - Isn't it frustrating to see what returns you would've had if you followed your system? I always look at my monkeys and beat my head against the keyboard!

I like your idea of cross checking. That seems to be a pretty good idea. It seems like you used the I fund because it generally is the most volatile. It would be cool to see how it would do if it was combined with another tracker that said which fund is most volatile on the green days. Now that I have your tracker's historical moves, I might find some time to see how it would be doing if it was combined with my monkeys and your cross checking. On days the tracker says stocks, I'll see what fund the monkey says. On days out of stocks, I'll see what the tracker says about G/F.

Yep, what could have been if we knew then what we know now. It's always the case I'm afraid, but without the journey it wouldn't be half as much fun.

I've been cross-checking my system with lots of other stuff also. I'm trying to see any patterns from volumes, vix and others. Maybe you can find some correlation with the ebbtracker and your monkeys that could boost your gains even more. Those monkeys are making big moves up the tally.

Originally Posted by Spaf

Gee Ebb,

According to your chart. I'll sleep in Monday. Tuesday I'll put the equipment in the Lilly Pad (boat). Wednesday I'll start her up. Thursday and Friday are the best Fishing days*.

*RE: Calendar from Mike's Hardware and Pblg. 2007

Regards

Spaf

Yep, I'm going to start fishing again by Wednesday. Getting tired of the lily pad waiting for the small pullback.

Ebb:

It seems you already know what you will be doing for entire the week. If there is significant change in the market (eg: a huge drop or huge gain), do you go back and recalculate to see if there has been a change in the current pattern for the remaining days?

Thanks.

Originally Posted by tspgo_com

Ebb:

It seems you already know what you will be doing for entire the week. If there is significant change in the market (eg: a huge drop or huge gain), do you go back and recalculate to see if there has been a change in the current pattern for the remaining days?

Thanks.

Tspgo_com, I do, but it doesn't happen too often. It happened once back in March and again last April, and both times the changes turned out to be good gains for the ebbtracker. Usually, it only affects the last day of the chart.

It appears the tracker would have avoided the Feb 27 drop. Does you data show it would have avoided the significant drops in the past?

Ebb and Fabijo,
What I have just finished reading in both of your last couple of posts makes me think that if both of you were to link up your efforts in a productive manner, you could have a real powerhouse, a fantastic money-making machine. Think of this possibility, you could reduce the losses and increase the gains perhaps exponentially! Best wishes!