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Thread: Market Talk / April 22nd - 28th

  1. #1
    Spaf's Avatar
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    Post Market Talk / April 22nd - 28th

    The Kingdom of TSP
    Sunday Weekly
    Early Edition
    April, 22, 2007


    Yak, Le Charts, Doodles, Tea Leaves, The Tin Box, The Tally Can and The Barn Yard

    Kingdom Yak:
    Pro-Yak.....................................SPX is still in a bullish trend trading above the 13d and 50d MA.

    Con-Yak....................................SPX is above the upper band, overextended and due to pause (again) or pullback. The stockastic is indicating a weak bearish signal with "K" under "D", and above 80 indicates overbought conditions. Upward momentum is not immediately sustainable.

    Jester-Yak.................................Last week we had a pause and advance. Will we get a repeat? Volume has been picking up!

    Le Charts

    Charts courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

    Doodles:
    Stops......................................Alert (-1&#37.....Trail (-2%)
    .....SPX...................................1470... ...........1456

    Dollar.......................................81.69 -0.48 for the week ending...$USD

    Lube (NYMEX) Closed at..............63.38 -0.25 for the week ending...NYMEX
    Oil Markers................................<60= ok, 60-65= worry, >65= panic.

    Tea Leaves:
    Yakndoodles...............................Yellow.

    Tin Box.
    TSP (week ending)......G=11.88..F=11.34..C=16.51..S=20.19..I =24.24
    ....(1 week past)........G=11.87..F=11.28..C=16.16..S=20.00..I =23.93
    ....(2 week past)........G=11.86..F=11.31..C=16.06..S=19.82..I =23.61
    ....(3 week past)........G=11.85..F=11.31..C=15.78..S=19.51..I =23.13
    ....(4 week past)........G=11.84..F=11.32..C=15.96..S=19.67..I =23.24

    ....(end of 2006)........G=11.71..F=11.14..C=15.69..S=18.76..I =22.22

    Tally Can.
    Top 10 last 12 mo.......................TSP Leaders and Position 033007.xls
    ...............................................Courtesy of Fundsurfer's Leader Tally Chart

    The Barn Yard
    Location....................................On a lilly pad. (100% G-Fund). Capital Preservation.


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  3. #2
    OldFisherman is offline Newbie
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    Default Re: Market Talk / April 22nd - 28th

    Doodles, Yakendoodles = Yellow?????? This is very hard to follow?

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    Default Re: Market Talk / April 22nd - 28th

    It means caution - invest at your own risk going forward. I say have no fear.

    "That's just the market doing what it's done ever since its doors opened - it'll get every bear to cover and stop shorting, while getting the late bulls long, as the train appears to be leaving. Does the next move become the capitulation stage or once again the talk of a 3rd of a 3rd of a 3rd".

    http://www.safehaven.com/article-7410.htm

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    Post Re: Market Talk / April 22nd - 28th

    The Kingdom of TSP
    Daily Edition
    April 23, 2007 Closing

    Yak, Le Charts, Doodles, Tea Leaves, The Tally Can and The Barn Yard

    Kingdom Yak:
    Pro-Yak....................................SPX Still holding bullish, trading above the 13d and 50d MA.

    Con-Yak...................................SPX started a pause/pullback. Price is still high. Stochastic K under D = weak bearish, and overbought.

    Jester-Yak................................Krude is getting kinda high with the election spiff in Nigeria.

    Le Charts

    Charts courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

    Doodles:
    Stops.......................................Alert (-1&#37....Trail (-2%)
    .....SPX........1480.93 -3.42.........1470.............1456

    Dollar........................................81.7 4 +0.06 for the day.

    Lube (NYMEX) Closed at...............65.89 +1.78 for the day.
    Oil Markers.................................<60= ok, 60-65= worry, >65= panic.

    Tea Leaves:
    Yakndoodles...............................Yellow.

    Tally Can
    TSP Funds..................................G-fund, F-fund, C-fund, S-fund, I-fund.
    Top 10 last 12 mo........................5.0 ......2.0 ......0.0 .....0.5 ......2.5
    Today........................................2 made IFT(s), 70% bearish, 30% bullish.
    Friday........................................4 made IFT(s), 70% bearish, 30% bullish.

    The Barn Yard
    Location.....................................100% G

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    Default Re: Market Talk / April 22nd - 28th

    Briefing.com:
    08:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +2.8. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +6.5. After taking a breather yesterday following the market's recent run-up, early indications suggest buying efforts will get back on track today. A Q1 earnings surprise from Texas Instruments (TXN) last night, along with reassuring guidance predicated on the end to last year's inventory correction, has helped renew optimism about the tech sector's growth prospects. AT&T (T) and DuPont (DD) becoming the latest Dow components to top Wall Street expectations are also contributing to the positive disposition.

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    Default Re: Market Talk / April 22nd - 28th

    Here is a TA's take on the VIX.

    Tuesday, April 24th. - Stock Trends, Charts, and Commentary
    __________________________________________________ ________
    Volatility, Fear, and Risk Levels ...

    Some investors have not observed that the VIX (Volatility Index) is now higher than it was
    after it gapped up on February 27th.'s large market drop.
    That's very significant ... especially since the S&P has moved much higher than its peak level
    in February.

    The market breaking higher on the S&P with the VIX simultaneously high?
    This is a market divergence worth paying attention to, especially today because of the
    chart below.

    This is a Point & Figure chart for the VIX and it is showing that yesterday's close was
    right at it resistance line testing point.
    Keep an eye on this level, because if the VIX breaks above this resistance, investors will
    see an unexpected pull back. If it survives the test and moves lower, then that will
    support more up action in the markets during this week.

    http://www.stocktiming.com/Tuesday-D...rketUpdate.htm

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    Default Re: Market Talk / April 22nd - 28th

    The A/D line is diverging today against price so we are having another internal pause to refresh. The DJUA is simply amazing with another new all-time high. I'd hate to slide down the other side of that particular graph but it is saying more bull rally to go forward at least another six months. Let'er rip.

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    Post Re: Market Talk / April 22nd - 28th

    The Kingdom of TSP
    Daily Edition
    April 24, 2007 Closing

    Yak, Le Charts, Doodles, Tea Leaves, The Tally Can and The Barn Yard

    Kingdom Yak:
    Pro-Yak....................................SPX Still holding bullish, trading above the 13d and 50d MAremains bullish trading above the 13d MA, and the 13d MA remains above the 50d MA.

    Con-Yak...................................SPX remains in a pause/pullback. Price is still high. Stochastic K under D = weak bearish, and above the value of 80, or overbought.

    Jester-Yak................................Four more trading days left in April!

    Le Charts

    Charts courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

    Doodles:
    Stops.......................................Alert (-1%)....Trail (-2%)
    .....SPX........1480.41 -0.52.........1470.............1456

    Dollar........................................81.5 2 -0.23 for the day.

    Lube (NYMEX) Closed at...............64.58 -1.60 for the day.
    Oil Markers.................................<60= ok, 60-65= worry, >65= panic.

    Tea Leaves:
    Yakndoodles...............................Yellow.

    Tally Can
    TSP Funds..................................G-fund, F-fund, C-fund, S-fund, I-fund.
    Top 10 last 12 mo........................3.0 ......1.0 ......1.0 .....0.7 ......4.3
    Today........................................3 made IFT(s), 40% bearish, 60% bullish.
    Yesterday...................................2 made IFT(s), 70% bearish, 30% bullish.

    The Barn Yard
    Location.....................................100% G

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    Default Re: Market Talk / April 22nd - 28th

    [BRIEFING.COM] 08:00 ET S&P futures vs fair value: +3.6. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +3.3. Early indications are pointing to a higher open for stocks. The bulk of earnings reports again checking in better than expected, initiated by Amazon.com's (AMZN) blowout Q1 report and upbeat guidance last night, as well as some M&A activity, are contributing to the bullish disposition. An investment group led by the Royal Bank of Scotland has stepped up today with a $98 bln offer to acquire ABN Amro (ABN).
    However, with the Dow just 46 points away from the 13,000 milestone, it doesn't look like the index's only component out with earnings today will be of much help. Boeing (BA) handily beat analysts' expectations but the stock is down 1.5&#37; in pre-market action as its full-year guidance is being viewed as a bit conservative.


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    Default Re: Market Talk / April 22nd - 28th

    8:33am ET
    [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +6.2. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +6.3. Durable Orders rose a stronger than expected 3.4&#37; in March (consensus 2.5%), given a large jump in aircraft orders, while the February figure was upwardly revised to 2.4% from 1.7%. Non-defense capital goods orders excluding transportation, which provide a clearer read on underlying business capital investment, rose a healthy 4.7% following a cumulative 8.5% decline in January and February. Futures trade has strengthened following the data and now point to an even stronger start for the cash market. Bonds, though, have weakened, lifting the yield on the 10-year note (-8/32) to 4.65%.

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    airlift is offline Club TSP
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    Default Re: Market Talk / April 22nd - 28th

    Weatherweenie,
    I am having some difficulties getting the usual Briefing.com market updates at the Yahoo financial section. I do click on refresh, but the problem persists -- no updates. Do you know if it's a general problem? I will appreciate your opinion.

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    Default Re: Market Talk / April 22nd - 28th

    Quote Originally Posted by airlift View Post
    Weatherweenie,
    I am having some difficulties getting the usual Briefing.com market updates at the Yahoo financial section. I do click on refresh, but the problem persists -- no updates. Do you know if it's a general problem? I will appreciate your opinion.
    Me too re: updates from Yahoo! Seems that's been a problem, off/on, for some time now.

    When this happens, I just go to the source, Briefing.com http://briefing.com/Investor/Public/...rketUpdate.htm

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