Market Talk / March 11th - 17th

**Spaf** · 03-11-2007, 06:12 AM

The Kingdom of TSP
Sunday Weekly
Early Edition
March 11, 2007

Yak, Le Charts, Doodles, Tea Leaves, The Tin Box & The Tally Can

Kingdom Yak:
Pro-Yak....................................The Slow STO is giving a bullish signal, and Lube was down 2.6% for the week.

Con-Yak....................................We're bearish untill 1435 [SPX], and still volatile!

Jester-Yak.................................When are we going to get back to normal?

Le Charts

Charts courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

Doodles:
Stops......................................Alert (-1%).....Trail (-2%)
.....SPX....................................xxxx.. ............xxxx
.....IJR.....................................xxxx. .............xxxx
.....EFA....................................xxxx.. ............xxxx

Dollar.......................................84.25 +0.14 for the week ending...$USD

Lube (NYMEX) Closed at..............60.05 -1.59 for the week ending...NYMEX
Oil Markers................................<60= ok, 60-65= worry, >65= panic.

Tea Leaves:
Yakndoodles...............................Yellow.

Tin Box.
TSP (week ending)......G=11.82..F=11.31..C=15.58..S=19.14..I =22.50
....(1 week past)........G=11.81..F=11.33..C=15.40..S=18.94..I =22.06
....(2 week past)........G=11.80..F=11.25..C=16.10..S=19.95..I =23.29
....(3 week past)........G=11.78..F=11.24..C=16.14..S=19.80..I =23.17
....(4 week past)........G=11.77..F=11.18..C=15.94..S=19.55..I =22.78

....(end of 2006)........G=11.71..F=11.14..C=15.69..S=18.76..I =22.22

Tally Can.
Top 10 last 12 mo.......................TSP Leaders and Position 022807.xls
...............................................Courtesy of Fundsurfer's Leader Tally Chart

**The_Technician** · 03-11-2007, 12:13 PM

Originally Posted by Spaf

The Kingdom of TSP

Sunday Weekly
Early Edition
March 11, 2007

Tally Can.
Top 10 last 12 mo.......................TSP Leaders and Position 022807.xls
...............................................Courtesy of Fundsurfer's Leader Tally Chart

U know Spaf.....that Tally Can sure reveals what happened to the leaders of the last 12 months. Compare them to the leaders of the last 3 and there are vast differences.....it only shows how far down they are to most recent leaders....nothing more.....

personally, I think we're on Thunder(5) Mountain myself.....

Congrats to Thunder5 for his achievement of late.

**SkyPilot** · 03-11-2007, 01:40 PM

In most comparisons, the short term will almost always produce higher results for a few... the longer term will more likely demonstrate skill over luck.

Been out of pocket for a week, good to be back!

**Spaf** · 03-11-2007, 04:30 PM

I sort of use it as one of several indicators i.e., if 70% are sitting in safe funds and I'm pulling up my socks, maybe it's time I got my foot out of the water!............

Originally Posted by The_Technician

U know Spaf.....that Tally Can sure reveals what happened to the leaders of the last 12 months. Compare them to the leaders of the last 3 and there are vast differences.....it only shows how far down they are to most recent leaders....nothing more.....

personally, I think we're on Thunder(5) Mountain myself.....

Congrats to Thunder5 for his achievement of late.

**The_Technician** · 03-11-2007, 08:54 PM

Originally Posted by SkyPilot

In most comparisons, the short term will almost always produce higher results for a few... the longer term will more likely demonstrate skill over luck.

Been out of pocket for a week, good to be back!

The skilled will keep on leading no matter the circumstances.....

**Show-me** · 03-12-2007, 12:17 AM

TOKYO (Kyodo)--Japan's economy grew an annualized real 5.5 percent in the October-December period from the previous quarter, revised upward from a 4.8 percent expansion in a preliminary report, the government said Monday.

The link is a subscription, but that seems like a awful big revision.

**Birchtree** · 03-12-2007, 12:56 AM

They're beating the heck out of the Germans with their low yen rates. Might as well throw in the Frogs and the Italians, too. They don't want to see the yen rise for the same reasons we don't necessarily want to see the dollar rise - finally starting to make progress on the trade deficit.

**Show-me** · 03-12-2007, 03:01 AM

AP
Halliburton Will Move HQ to Dubai
Sunday March 11, 9:01 pm ET
By Jim Krane, Associated Press Writer Halliburton Will Shift Headquarters From Houston to Mideast Financial Powerhouse of Dubai
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) -- Oil services giant Halliburton Co. will soon shift its corporate headquarters from Houston to the Mideast financial powerhouse of Dubai, chief executive Dave Lesar announced Sunday.

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070311/emira...rton.html?.v=5

**Oldcoin** · 03-12-2007, 05:11 AM

Is Friday the 16th a quadruple witching day? If it is what will it mean for the market?

**Spaf** · 03-12-2007, 06:21 AM

Originally Posted by Oldcoin

Is Friday the 16th a quadruple witching day? If it is what will it mean for the market?

According to ST....March 16 is a Triple Witching day, Dow Up 4 of Last 5, Down 3 in a row 1999-2001. Three witches and a bull!

**weatherweenie** · 03-12-2007, 12:22 PM

Briefing.com:
08:06 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +0.7. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +1.0. The market was poised earlier to start the day on an upbeat note, but the bullish bias has been fading, and now, the broader market is slated to begin the session on a relatively flat note. There hasn't been any specific news catalyst to blame for the reversal. On the contrary, today's news has been generally supportive as there has been a batch of M&A activity, highlighted by Schering-Plough's (SGP) $14.4 billion cash offer for Akzo Nobel's drug unit, and oil prices are trading below $60.

**weatherweenie** · 03-12-2007, 12:45 PM

Briefing.com:
08:37 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.6. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -7.2. The bullish sentiment seen earlier has wavered, and consequently, the market is now set to start the session on a negative note. Ongoing concerns about the growing problems in the subprime mortgage market have served as a turning point after Countrywide (CFC) said in an update that it expects some short-term earnings volatility as a result of the changes in the subprime mortgage marketplace. In related news, New Century Financial (NEW) disclosed it has received notice from its lenders that they are discontinuing their financing under the company's short-term repurchase agreements and aggregation credit facilities.