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Thread: Market Talk / Jan. 28 - Feb. 3

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    Spaf's Avatar
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    Post Market Talk / Jan. 28 - Feb. 3

    The Kingdom of TSP
    Sunday Weekly
    Early Edition
    January 28, 2007


    Yak, Doodles, Tea Leaves & The Tin Box

    Kingdom Yak:
    Pro-Yak....................................Capital preservation is primary.

    Con-Yak....................................Lube rallied near 4%!..... Lot of uncertainity amoung pundits!

    Jester-Yak.................................Dang volatility can leave a mark!

    Doodles:
    TSP socks ended mixed for the week. Small caps appear to be rolling over. Alerts triggered.
    Stops......................................Alert (-1%).....Trail (-2%)
    .....$SPX..................................1426X.. .........1403
    .....IJR.....................................66.26 X..........65.56
    .....EFA....................................73.76X ..........73.06

    Dollar.......................................85.24 +0.37 for the week...$USD

    Lube (NYMEX) Closed at..............55.42 +3.43 for the week...NYMEX
    Oil Markers................................<60= ok, 60-65= worry, >65= panic.

    Tea Leaves:
    Yakndoodles...............................Yellow.

    Tin Box.
    Leaders Ratio / Top 10 ................3.8 ......0.4 ......0.0 .....3.8 ......2.0 ....07 leaders
    Leaders Play...............................G-fund, F-fund, C-fund, S-fund, I-fund
    Courtesy of Rokid's Weekly Account Tally

    TSP (week ending)......G=11.75..F=11.11..C=15.75..S=19.04..I =22.24
    ....(1 week past)........G=11.74..F=11.15..C=15.84..S=18.98..I =22.33
    ....(2 week past)........G=11.73..F=11.14..C=15.84..S=19.08..I =22.14
    ....(3 week past)........G=11.72..F=11.19..C=15.60..S=18.58..I =21.99
    ....(4 week past)........G=11.71..F=11.14..C=15.69..S=18.76..I =22.22..end of 06

    Le Charts




    Charts courtesy of www.stockcharts.com


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    Default Re: Market Talk / Jan. 28 - Feb. 3

    Have any of you Market Analyst figured out what's going to happen Tuesday? I haven't, oil up, dollar up.
    Jan
    GDP-Adv.Q43.0&#37;3.0%2.0%Jan
    Chain Deflator-Adv.Q41.5%1.7%1.9%Jan
    Employment Cost IndexQ40.9%1.0%1.0%Jan
    Chicago PMIJan52.052.051.6Jan
    Construction SpendingDec-0.2%0.0%-0.2%Jan
    Crude Inventories01/26NANA789KJan 3114:15FOMC policy statement
    WAY TOO MUCH FOR ME, comon Robo, somebody, in or out, What!!!!!
    http://money.cnn.com/2007/01/26/mark...ion=2007012807
    Links Crude Settle$89.90 05-23-2012
    -1.76 loss

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    Default Re: Market Talk / Jan. 28 - Feb. 3

    By the way, WHERE THE HELL IS ROLO!? Come back you know everything!
    Links Crude Settle$89.90 05-23-2012
    -1.76 loss

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    Post Re: Market Talk / Jan. 28 - Feb. 3

    Alternate stock charting (or another way in MHO)!]

    At www.StockCharts.com as an alternate to [^DWCPF] Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Complet small to med stock index fund for the TSP S-fund, use the [IJR] ishares S&P SmallCap 600 Index fund.

    In the CandleGlance group charts everything can put everything on one page, up to 10 symbols, adjust time periods and use various indicators.
    AGG-SPX-IJR-EFA-USD

    The MACD can be set for buy signals at [8,17,9] or for sell signals at [12,25,9].
    STA MACD Set-up

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    Default Re: Market Talk / Jan. 28 - Feb. 3

    Go get'm boys!!!
    Links Crude Settle$89.90 05-23-2012
    -1.76 loss

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    Arrow Re: Market Talk / Jan. 28 - Feb. 3

    Quote Originally Posted by nnuut View Post
    By the way, WHERE THE HELL IS ROLO!? Come back you know everything!

    Yeah... I liked him!
    "You rise. You fall. You're down then you rise again. What don't kill ya make ya more strong."
    - Metallica

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    Default Re: Market Talk / Jan. 28 - Feb. 3

    NNUUT,

    From the article you post it appears that Monday and Tuesday should be relatively stable days. The first danger shows up on Wednesday. So, I'm going to stay in stocks through Tuesday and get out at COB Tuesday. I'll likely get back in on COB Thursday, depending on what it looks like.

    FH


    http://money.cnn.com/2007/01/26/mark...ion=2007012807

    "However, he noted that stock and bond investors are likely anticipating the steady-as-she-goes approach. Therefore investors are unlikely to be ruffled by a lack of change, beyond a typical knee-jerk reaction.
    The fourth-quarter GDP report Wednesday, however, could throw a few curves, he said. "It's a difficult one to predict because the reads on inventories and exports move around a lot," Shapiro said. In addition, this is the preliminary read on the fourth quarter, later to be advised.
    At the end of the week, investors get the January jobs report, which should show continued solid growth in payrolls. Where the report could threaten stock gains is if average hourly earnings - the report's inflation component - shows a bigger-than-expected decline."
    Happiness is not in the mere possession of money; it lies in the joy of achievement, in the thrill of creative effort. Franklin D. Roosevelt

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    airlift is online now Club TSP
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    Default Re: Market Talk / Jan. 28 - Feb. 3

    Spaf,
    It's good to have these alternatives. Do you think these charts will show intraday price movements or at market close?

    Quote Originally Posted by Spaf View Post
    Alternate stock charting (or another way in MHO)!]


    At www.StockCharts.com as an alternate to [^DWCPF] Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Complet small to med stock index fund for the TSP S-fund, use the [IJR] ishares S&P SmallCap 600 Index fund.

    In the CandleGlance group charts everything can put everything on one page, up to 10 symbols, adjust time periods and use various indicators.
    AGG-SPX-IJR-EFA-USD

    The MACD can be set for buy signals at [8,17,9] or for sell signals at [12,25,9].
    STA MACD Set-up

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  17. #9
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    Post Re: Market Talk / Jan. 28 - Feb. 3

    My feeling is that iShares have real good intraday price reports. Some ETF's have lousy intraday reports. I ran a comparison of ^DWCPF vs IJR, though not exactly they do track fairly atop each other. ^DWCPF won't register on StockCharts.
    IJR is the index fund, IJJ is the value fund and IJK is the growth fund.
    Some ETF's might be great funds but lack good intraday reports. I've always had good reports on my platform, using iShares.

    Quote Originally Posted by sponsor View Post
    Spaf,
    It's good to have these alternatives. Do you think these charts will show intraday price movements or at market close?


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  19. #10
    airlift is online now Club TSP
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    Default Re: Market Talk / Jan. 28 - Feb. 3

    I know that DWCP doesn't exist in StockCharts, although it used to open up in BigCharts. I am aware that there are a couple of symbols that use DWCP symbol, but I don't really understand the subtle difference. But, please take a look at $EMW in StockCharts because it is the Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Completion Index and will show intraday movement, at least if you have real time.

    Quote Originally Posted by Spaf View Post
    My feeling is that iShares have real good intraday price reports. Some ETF's have lousy intraday reports. I ran a comparison of ^DWCPF vs IJR, though not exactly they do track fairly atop each other. ^DWCPF won't register on StockCharts.
    IJR is the index fund, IJJ is the value fund and IJK is the growth fund.
    Some ETF's might be great funds but lack good intraday reports. I've always had good reports on my platform, using iShares.

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    Post Re: Market Talk / Jan. 28 - Feb. 3

    Sponsor,
    Your correct with $EMW. I was trying to keep my trading system and TSP together. But, it kind of looks like I need 2 systems. Then if I figure buy vs sell (with different MACD's), I need 4 systems!.....
    Can't win for losing!

    Symbols.txt
    Index
    NASDAQ $COMPQ, ^IXIC
    DJIA $INDU, ^DJI
    S&P500 $SPX, ^SPX, SPX, GSPC

    IVV ishares S&P 500 Index
    ^DWCPF Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Completion Index small to med stock index fund TSP S-fund (Yahoo/BigCharts)
    $EMW Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Completion Index (StockCharts)
    IJR ishares S&P SmallCap 600 Index
    EFA international Morgan Stanley EAFE TSP I-fund, also $USD US Dollar (StockCharts)
    AGG ishares Lehman Bros QS Aggregate (LBA) Index US Bonds TSP F-fund
    TLT ishares Lehman 20+ year Treasury Bond



    Quote Originally Posted by sponsor View Post
    But, please take a look at $EMW in StockCharts because it is the Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Completion Index and will show intraday movement, at least if you have real time.

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    Default Re: Market Talk / Jan. 28 - Feb. 3

    Sounding complicated for sure.

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