Ugh! New Sentiment Survey Is In

**tsptalk** · 07-01-2004, 03:09 PM

Well my short term timing has been hardly stellarof late. One big concern for the market is the rising number of bulls. The AAII sentiment survey came in today at57% bulls, 16% bears, andnot surprisingly, the market is taking a turn down.I kept hoping for a pullback in last few days of June so we'd see more bears.

A lot of people expected the market to rally once the June 30th "stuff" was out of the way. The market loves to do the opposite of what the herd expects. This time I was part of the herd.

**oneyoungbuck** · 07-01-2004, 03:16 PM

Dont get down Tom, the Market seems to be up one day down the next. I went 100%C today, man I am taking a hit. But, that means the market should be up tomorrow, LOL. I know I am realitively new at this but the Market seems to be very tough to call the past 3 months. Oh well, lets see what happens tomorrow. I am staying in stocks for tomorrow just dont know allocation yet.

**Rod** · 07-01-2004, 03:50 PM

Don't feel so bad... I stayed 100% S.:?

My frustrations go back to my question on the above thread... why can't TSP allow us to make changes in real time???

Boy, that would be nice. If we saw the market falling, we would be able to quickly pull out instead of having to wait until the next day, taking all the current day's hits!

**puertorico** · 07-01-2004, 05:27 PM

Everything what right

1-Irakies have his own power over Irak

2-Fed raise his stuff 1/4

3-Movie spiderman is out for some large gains

4-And is the firsts days of the month and have a past

season in good shape :?what a bommer day !

rain or shine still 100 stock

**billseal** · 07-01-2004, 05:34 PM

By the looks of all of the indicies everything has gone south for the day. Oh well, there is always tomorrow.:^

**puertorico** · 07-01-2004, 05:40 PM

Let see tomorrow, THE last fridays in a row have been down.

But we have the unemployment numbers friday july 2.

Even somtimes those number dont move the market ANYWAY!!

**smine** · 07-01-2004, 07:24 PM

Well, I've been seriously kicking myself to moving to G last Thursday, anticipating being out of town, no computer access, IRAQ, fed rate, whatever. I missed some great income; only good news for me is to buy in tonight when the market falls, as it seems to be doing. Tom's right.....is almost too awful to be on the sidelines when a happening event raises everything.

**Rod** · 07-01-2004, 08:00 PM

Welp, after today I'm definitely going to lose those gains from the S Fund these past few days.:P

Oh well, with the payday deposit coming, I'll at leastbe able to "buy low".

blah blah blah

**fuzzduzz** · 07-01-2004, 11:06 PM

I 'm in 100% S fund starting tomorrow. I was hoping for a light volume pullback not a selloff with increasing volume. I'll keep a tight leeshe on it for sure.

fuzzduzz:?

**Pete1** · 07-02-2004, 05:51 AM

I have a feeling that there may be some follow through tomorrow due to the long holiday weekend. Hopefully, I'm wrong.

**Pete1** · 07-02-2004, 01:13 PM

Wow, weak jobs data. Maybe the economy is not as strong as believed.

**tsptalk** · 07-09-2004, 04:10 PM

The new (7/7) AAII investor sentiment survey came out yesterday at 55% bulls, 21% bears. The last two bottoms in March and May saw bears over 40%. That doesn't have to happen to get a bottom but I would sure feel better if that number were higher and bulls were closer to the 30-40% area.