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Thread: Market Talk / Feb. 19 - 25

  1. #1
    Spaf's Avatar
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    Post Market Talk / Feb. 19 - 25

    The Kingdom of TSP
    Sunday-Weekly
    Early Edition
    Feb. 19, 2006


    Yak, Doodles, Tea Leaves, and The Tin Box.

    Kingdom Yak:
    Market Yak............ Dancing in a range!
    Other Yak.............. Put another log on the fire!

    Doodles:
    Socks................... S&P 500 ($SPX)
    Closed at.............. 1266.99, up +20.25 for the week.
    Money flow........... +0.111, increasing.
    Averages.............. +2.45, increasing.
    Slow STO............. +90.21, increasing.
    Overbought/sold..... [70] 59.1 [30]
    Stops................... NA.
    Chart................... 6mo., 50dMA, MACD, RSI (Attached).

    Lube.................... Light Crude (NYM)
    Closed at.............. 61.29, dn -0.55 for the week.
    Markers:............... <60 = ok, 60-65 = worry, >65 = critical.

    Tea leaves:
    Charts and Stuff..... Yellow.

    The Tin Box:
    Position................. 100G.
    TSP Ended: G=11.22 F=10.69 C=14.01 S=17.18 I=18.29
    1----Week: G=11.21 F=10.65 C=13.78 S=16.94 I=18.28
    2---Weeks: G=11.20 F=10.67 C=13.74 S=17.12 I=18.42



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  3. #2
    Birchtree's Avatar
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    Default Nicky up 475

    Whew, I'm ready to play catch up - got to get off the tracks because the train is on the way. Futures also look good this AM. Please Mr Custer, can I have a 200 point Dow day?

    Dennis

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  5. #3
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    Default Looks to be a

    turning point in the making....I'm going to start looking for a downdraft of sorts till when......April....
    The Technician (escapades at times as Carnac)

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  7. #4
    Spaf's Avatar
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    Default Hum

    Hey Birch,
    Your drawing sabers!
    Tech,
    Your drawing shovels!

    Interesting! Got to interview the Indians and get their take!

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  9. #5
    Wizard Guest

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    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree
    Whew, I'm ready to play catch up - got to get off the tracks because the train is on the way. Futures also look good this AM. Please Mr Custer, can I have a 200 point Dow day?

    Dennis
    Yes we are playing catch up. Japan is coming out of a recession and we are going into one.

    FOMC minutes are hawkish you could have your DOW 200 point day.
    Attached Images Attached Images

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  11. #6
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    Default Not to take anything away from

    Quote Originally Posted by Spaf
    Hey Birch,
    Your drawing sabers!
    Tech,
    Your drawing shovels!

    Interesting! Got to interview the Indians and get their take!

    Birchy Spaf, but if things happened the way he says they will, we will fall into hyperinflation and then interest rates would escalate.. ....therefore, there is a damper on his foresight....my way includes a new buying opportunity after no inflationary pressures, but if we sit still for a while and go nowhere we can hold status quo until time comes for a new move... .which as we stand, could be a long time.....year or two.....and this may very well happen....
    The Technician (escapades at times as Carnac)

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  13. #7
    Wizard Guest

    Default

    G fund should pay the .01 today .

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  15. #8
    JOVARN is offline TSP Talker
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    Default

    Whats up with the G fund pay out I thought that would have occured a few days ago. I thought the delay was from the Treasury Dept, as they are suspending investments in the G-fund?


    Looks like a short term buying opportunity if the NASDAQ can hold the support level of 2260.
    AP
    Stocks Fall on Fears of Future Rate Hikes
    Tuesday February 21, 3:06 pm ET

    Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average rose 2.96 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 was down 0.09 percent, Germany's DAX index was up 0.12 percent, and France's CAC-40 was up 0.24 percent.
    If the Dollars stays under wraps we may have a nice day tomorrow.

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  17. #9
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    Post Daily Yak

    The Kingdom of TSP
    Daily Edition
    Feb. 21, 2006

    Yak, Doodles, Tea Leaves, and The Tin Box.

    Kingdom Yak:
    Market Yak........... Socks slip on growing gas, tighter techs, and rumbling rates.
    Other Yak............. Kind of like the half pipe!

    Doodles:
    Socks.................. S&P 500 ($SPX)
    Closed at............. 1283.03, dn -4.21
    Money flow........... +0.134, increasing.
    Stops.................. NA.
    Averages............. +2.86, increasing.
    Slow STO............. +90.18, flat.
    Overbought/sold.... [70] 56.1 [30]

    Lube.................... Light Crude (NYM)
    Closed at.............. 62.74, up +1.45
    Markers:............... <60 = ok, 60-65 = worry, >65 = critical.

    Tea leaves:
    Charts and Stuff..... Yellow.

    The Tin Box:
    Position................. 100%G.


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    Default More bounce per ounce

    The Indians (odd lot shorts) are at all time record levels.
    Six of the LEI 10 components strengthed in January.
    There are so many indexes sitting just under the radar ready to pop to the upside - I simply have to be BULLISH.
    Dow transports, Dow utilities, NYSE composite are all just treading water waiting for the breakout move. My energy stocks kept me afloat today. But boy this thing really feels good for much more upside - may blow right past Dow 11,722.98 with ease - you choir folks just don't over strain your tender necks from looking up too long. This could be sweet. We may be ready to pre-empt the interest rate pause that is in the making - such a long ways to go before March 28th. Take care.

    Dennis - got to be bullish.

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  21. #11
    Wizard Guest

    Default

    6 month - 4.49%
    30 year - 4.48%

    overnight rate - 4.5%

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  23. #12
    Fivetears is offline Planet TSP
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    Thumbs up The Dreaded 3 Dots.

    PREDATOR.
    Cool Wizard.

    .....

    . ....

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