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Thread: Tuesday's Meeting

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    JerBer is offline TSP Starter
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    Default Tuesday's Meeting

    What do y'all think will happen after the Feds meet on Tuesday? It's Greenspan's last day, interest rates should go up, but perhaps the last time for awhile ......... has the anticipatory adjustment already been made, or will the market react?

    Will YOU play it conservative or gamble that we could see some big
    gains tomorrow? Hmmmmmmm.................


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  3. #2
    The_Technician's Avatar
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    Default Read the Lehman

    The Technician (escapades at times as Carnac)

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  5. #3
    Dave M Guest

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    To gamble is to put 100% in one of the funds and cross your fingers. To invest is to position your portfolio to take advantage of any outcome.

    Remember, this is a retirement account not a 'trading' account. By definition we are in for the long haul. Fed Chairmen will come and go; we will remain. In the end, what they do matters less than what we do. By that I mean, if we contribute the maximum allowable and invest wisely -- no gambling! -- results will follow automatically.

    Dave

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    Default

    Some of us see it differently Dave. To me gambling is putting your money in any position and hoping that it goes up all year. Would of worked okay the last the three years, but not the previous three.

    To each there own though.

    Good luck,

    M_M

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    If you look at the trend of the F fund, it seems that the market anticipates the hike and moves into oversold territory. Soon thereafter it rises. So F might just be the way to go in a few days.
    "Auferre trucidare rapere falsis nominis imperium, atque ubi solitudinem faciunt pacem appellant."

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    JerBer is offline TSP Starter
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    Talking

    I don't know if I'm going to like this Bernanke guy or not, there was something about the name GREENspan, I can't quite put my finger on it..........

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    Default Bernanke

    Sounds like some kind of new card game at a casino.... Hmmm. Do you want to play some Bernanke place your bets...

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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Soldat
    If you look at the trend of the F fund, it seems that the market anticipates the hike and moves into oversold territory. Soon thereafter it rises. So F might just be the way to go in a few days.
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/markets/bonds.html

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  17. #9
    Dave M Guest

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    MM but of course, that's why we're here. Meanwhile, I speak only for myself.

    In any case, I have given up on the F-fund. There is a reason why its share price is lower than that of the G. I don't know what that is but the evidence is pretty clear.

    Dave


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    F fund is low because of the rate hikes. Green and now Bernie will attempt to keep core inflation under 2%. Last read was 1.9%. From what I gather, rate hikes will only last so long before slowing the economy. They cannot continue indefinitely and when they stop, the F fund will outperform the G.
    "Auferre trucidare rapere falsis nominis imperium, atque ubi solitudinem faciunt pacem appellant."

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    I agree Dave, wait for it to trend up. Right now it is exactly where it started the year.

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    1/4 point and more tightening may be needed...

    Market shouldn't like that.

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