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Thread: Market Talk

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    Spaf's Avatar
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    The Kingdom of TSP

    Sunday-Weekly
    (Early Edition)

    Market News, Doodles, Tea Leaves, & Yak Date: July 10, 2005


    Market News.

    Kingdom Talk: Busy week planned for Horseman Earnie. Report Cards due!

    Other News: -> http://www.briefing.com/SilverIndex.htm


    Doodles, and Tea Leaves - Weekly.

    Doodles:
    S&P 500 (Index)
    Closed at 1211.86, up +17.42
    CMF (money flow) at -0.013, up +0.101
    RSI (strength) at 58.2, up +10.3
    MACD (trend) at 2.19, up +0.45 (bearish)

    Nymex (Crude oil)
    Closed at 59.63, up +0.88

    Insert: S&P (3mo) chart ending 07-08. Added: 20dMA P-SAR, RSI, and MACD.


    Tea leaves: Yellow / Green


    Yak.

    Remarks: Indicators turning favorable. Continuation could change the MACD tobullish.Caution, oil remains in worry range.

    Holding: 100% G. May go to stocks if fundamentals and indicators hold.

    S&P stops: Primary = 1188 (-24), Alert = 1200 (-12).

    Oil factor: <55 = OK. 55-60 = worry. >60 = Panic.

    Weekly TSP Returns: G= +.01, F= -.02, C= +.19, S= +.36, I= +.03


    Rgds Spaf




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    Rod's Avatar
    Rod
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    Futures are looking rather impressive for Monday. But Dennis may rain on the parade. At least my HD stock should benefit!:P


    "You rise. You fall. You're down then you rise again. What don't kill ya make ya more strong."
    - Metallica

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    Rod wrote:
    Futures are looking rather impressive for Monday. But Dennis may rain on the parade. At least my HD stock should benefit!:P

    keep the folks in the pensacola/mobile area in your thoughts and prayers....this storm is gonna be a monster:s

    hopefully the loss of life will be minimal. those who have chosen to stay will find a situation as terrible as it gets on this planet. GOD help them....

    the destruction of property will be on the scale of a hydrogen bomb and may very well affect the market next week. my gut feel is thatthe up trend will continue and may in fact recieve a boost from the anticipated spendingto rebuild the gulf coast.

    the rigs in the gulf are also a variable 2 factor in...most allare west of the track which puts them on the softer side of the cyclone.

    tekno

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    robo is offline Club TSP
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    We are at the high end of the trading range next week. Can we climb the wall of worry andbreak out?

    Investors are still worried about the following:

    We're still stuck in a trading range,$60 a barrel oil, the Fed is still in tightening mode, the yield curve, trading range long in the tooth.....and Dennis. I'm still bullish, I voted bearishnext week, but in my opinion the support holds on any pullbacks.



    TSP Poll seems most are Bearish or Neutral......
    "The future has to be pried from the hands of the same old dinosaurs in order for our children and grandchildren to survive and prosper. --Marc Eckelberry

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    Tekno, Glad to see you are here - means you're safe!
    Hoping you see the Sun soon!

    for now! From all of us >

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    thanks WW!

    moderaterain and 20-30mph wind isall we had here.

    however note shutdown in gulf....:shock:: http://www.mms.gov/ooc/press/2005/press0708.htm



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    http://www.technicalwatch.com/cum05/cum070805.htm

    form your own conclusions......:^

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    teknobucks wrote:
    form your own conclusions......:^
    So far the way they are handling the hurricane season this year, seems to be a lot better than in the past. Thats just the impression that I seem to hear!

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    Since I voted bearish on sentiment, the market will probably go up 10% this week. :P

    Looks like we are no longer matching 1994 on the chart. I'm now contemplating ~1190 as the entry point and playing this as a trading range with a trailing stop instead of expecting a big move one way or the other.

    If $60+ oil can't kick the market in the shins and send it into the 1170's, I really don't know what else can. It's puzzling that the C fund continues lagging well behind the other two. Large caps are long overdue to take hold and lead the way. :%


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    Mike wrote:
    Looks like we are no longer matching 1994 on the chart.


    1934

    however:


    Does Intel win with technology -- or threats?
    by Bill Fleckenstein
    July 11, 2005
    http://moneycentral.msn.com/content/P121537.asp

    Explaining isn't Justifying
    by John P. Hussman, Ph.D.
    July 11, 2005
    http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc050711.htm

    Are There Too Many Hedge Funds?
    by John Mauldin
    July 9, 2005
    http://www.safehaven.com/article-3406.htm

    Global: Back to the Drawing Board
    by Stephen Roach
    July 8, 2005
    http://www.morganstanley.com/GEFdata/digests/latest-digest.html

    The Destruction of Old and Creation of New Bubbles!
    by Dr. Marc Faber
    July 5, 2005
    http://www.gloomboomdoom.com/marketcoms/mcdownloads/050705.pdf



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    Almost totally agree with you Mike...that 1190 level sure looks inviting....I'm still cautions of the future break down that I believe is coming right after the 1st of Sept throught Oct......gonna really sit that one out...

    This week we have several items of interest that will affect the market.

    Store sales, bill and note autions announcements, CPI/PPI, import and export prices international trade, petroleum status, treasury budget, jobless claims, retail sales, business inventories, industrial production, and consumer sentiment.....

    yeap, gonna be an interesting week.....F fund looks like its getting there....could be a good move after the G fund flips one to us this week...

    :dude:
    The Technician (escapades at times as Carnac)

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  23. #12
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    internet 2....broadband over power lines!

    next gen method of conectivity.....

    big blue seems 2 be behind it...should u buy ibm??

    hell yeah!!:^



    http://www.internet2.edu

    http://tinyurl.com/73mok

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