I just updated the site with the new share prices and I have to tell you it was sure difficult to type in that +.15, +.21 and +20 when I'm stuck in the +.00 G fund. :?
I was chatting with Jason Goepfert at sentimentrader.com and asked him if he had any stats regardingnegative surprise job reports (it missed estimates by 50,000) and a market that did cartwheels the same day. Here is his response...
"It does throw a wrench in things. I just took a quick look at the stats I already had (going from Jan '02 through Mar '05), and there were 5 instances of the S&P closing up 5 points or more on a day the jobs report came in at least 30,000 below consensus. The next day, the S&P was lower 4 times for an average loss of 9 points, but 20 days later it was higher all 5 times for an average of 27 points. Like we needed another thing to confuse the picture..."



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