Thread: Market Talk

Spaf wrote:

See ya Dr_D

Please start the new thread for next week (Thanks).

I told "Grandma" I'd be 50-50. But, after consideration, I'll stay for the Friday report, but the PM will put me totally in the G-fund, unless there is considered improvement.
Well, enough said. See you guys and gals on Monday PM. May it be green!

Rgds! Spaf

Have a good weekend. Got ya covered. God speed - GOODSPEED - The Rock.

Please have Grandma PM me. I really just state jiverish on the general board. But YA all know that all ready huh? Hope you are in the green.

Be safe and give your family a hug for us.

WOW! Markets are off and running! Why did the USD index flux so much and then go weak? Strong market = strong Dollar? What happened? Anyone?

Good luck today!:^

Question is the job report was so great...why did the unemployment go up 2 tens of a percent???

Really folks - I have no idea what is going on.

Strong job report - Strong Dollar - long term yield go up (Even Greenie know when the long term yields goes up that means a stronger economy) - unemployment rate goes DOWN not UP.

Yet the dollar got beaten like a step child, the long term yields are getting crushed and the unemployment rate went UP:*.

Anyone have any thoughts?

I'm not an expert, but here is what I've read:

Unemployment rate is based on the number of people looking for work. So, when things begin to pick up, the unemployment rate can actually increase as more people actively seek work (as opposed to not even looking because the job market is too bad).

As for the dollar, apparently many who are "in the know" expected even higher job creation numbers, as high as 400,000. For these people, the actual number was disappointing. Don't know if that's true, but it's on CNN:

http://money.cnn.com/2005/03/04/mark...onds/index.htm

Thank you for the post neighbor

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Great Market Comments Tom. I found this most of interest:

If the market did cartwheels for the jobs report and closed higher by 0.5% or more, there was only a 33% chance that is was still higher 30 days later.

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That works into my thesis that the next fed tightening will invert the yield curve and cause massive selling of longer term bonds in order to achieve higher yields with less risk and duration by holding shorter term bonds.

If Mr Bubbles had a soul he would be worried right now. I know I am.

Something is fixing to break. Next FOMC is at the end of the month.

Ok, Ithought there was a chance for this and moved in a toe Wed morning for Thu. Did not get the fall I wanted Wed or the climb I wanted Thu. However, left the little toe in the market and got the climb Fri. I pulled out Fri Morning for Monday. If I get the fall Mon morning then I will put the foot in. Perhaps even if I don't get the fall. My new game plan, will be if I am over-all bullish and I see or believe the market will fall on a day, I will watch when I can to 1045 hours local or 1545 Zulu and make my move in to the market. I have been playing with the little toe with some luck. Now it is time to play footsy. lol :^ See prevous post for what I have been doing if of intrest. Good luck to all and take care.

Learning good post. Glad you racked some coinage in.



****THIS WEEK CLOSED OUT PLEASE USE MAR 7-11*****

Dr_Dubious wrote:

Learning good post. Glad you racked some coinage in.



****THIS WEEK CLOSED OUT PLEASE USE MAR 7-11*****

I see I was right..............

Dakota wrote:

I'm looking for the s and p to break its new high today or tomorrow. I'm in 10 30 30 30 gcsI

Did I call it right or not:^