Thread: C Fund Link

Thanks Show-me

Show-me, just so I understand, these 10 stocks represent 22.72% of theCfund? Thanksin advance.

Timer wrote:

Show-me, just so I understand, these 10 stocks represent 22.72% of theCfund? Thanksin advance.

Yes. Right off the TSP Fact Sheet.

http://www.stocktiming.com/Wednesday...rketUpdate.htm

As of last Friday, 337 coimpanies on the S&P 500 index had reported earnings. Of these 65% surpassed analyst expectations, 15% matched Wall Street estimates, and 20% missed. At this time, the growth rate for the broad gauge's fourth quarter stands at 14.9%, above the 13.8% that was expected the week before. This week 47 S&P companies will announce quarterly results along with two Dow components. These companies have also been dutifully purchasing their own stock now for seceral years - may continue to help earnings comparisons even in a slow GDP. No bears here yet to worry about.

Dennis

There was a period back in the late 1990s where the S&P was putting in many of the dot-com era names. Some have now been removed, or are down 90%. If you look at the constituents of the Dow, none really was caught up in the dot-com era. And the Dow never had an Enron or a WorldCom.

The result: When technology stocks were soaring in the late 1990s, the S&P 500 generally was outpacing the Dow industrials. The S&P 500 rose 27% in 1998, compared with 16% for the industrial average. During the main market boom, from 1995 through the indexes' highs in 2000, the S&P 500 rocketed 233%, while the industrials soared 206%.

But after the bubble popped, the S&P 500 slid 49% before it bottomed out in October 2002. The Dow industrials tumbled 38%. Little wonder that the Dow has gotten back within range of its record faster than the S&P 500.

The S&P 500 includes almost every big company investors have heard of - 500 of them. All the Dow components are in the S&P 500. Because some S&P 500 companies are acquired every year or suffer sudden declines, trhe S&P 500's makeup changes several times a year. And its calculation is the opposite of the Dow industrials'. The index is meant to reflect the value of the overall big-stock market, so moves in each stock are weighted to reflect the camoany's market value.

What does that mean? The S&P 500 tracks market quirks much more closely than the industrial average. The Dow is the tortoise to the S&P's hare. The comparison between the Dow and the S&P 500 is instructive. The S&P 500 outpaced the industrial average in the late 1990s and has done so since the bull market began in 2002. This year, the industrial average is up about 1%, compared with 4.6% for the S&P 500. General Motors and IBM have weighed on the industrial average, and 14 of its 30 components are down for the year so far.

But taken over the whole period since the start of 1995, the Dow is the winner, rising 184%, compared with 176% for the S&P 500. The Dow's resilience in the bear market made up for the S&P 500's greater strength when stocks were booming. That race went to the tortoise.

The Dow needs about 10% to surpass its record of 11722.98 set in January 2000, almost six years ago.

The S&P 500 would have to advance more than 20% to return to its record of 1527.46 reached in March 2000. I think it will rock to the top.

but notice that 52% of the S&P companies are below the 50 day average....its been going down since around 23 Jan.....was in or around 65.....

It has a steady and deliberate drop in the curve as it goes day by day....see for yourself at this site.....

http://stockcharts.com/gallery/?$spxa50r

The Technician,

Looks fine from my perspective - just a normal give back correction of the move up from the October lows. My thinking is that the October lows may have in fact been the 4-year cycle low - only a year ahead of schedule. That could actually mean clear sailing into 2008. All it requires is courage of the conviction - today was hit the target day in the energy patch. Gotta stay in until the lady sings. Thanx for the graph looksie. We are all here to help each other in our own small way. Hope the Wizard returns - I like his perspective as well as yours. Take care.

Dennis

share your thoughts about the low there Birchy.....but I have never seen a low last only a month or so.....when they go, they generally go down for a year or 2 and then they will drop 40-50%....October was hardly a nick in the old move up......

given the economics are hitting the wall with inflation and energy and interest rates kicking us in the teeth, I would expect some consequence from those facts....

Good luck staying long Birchy, you need to flex up some though in my view....

Did the C Fund pick up 12 cents today?

Dell,

Was hoping I could see $13.50 for a nice dollar cost average - may have to wait longer now - if I miss the opportunity in the next seven trading days then it's chauked up as a sacrifice. $14.00 makes the overall balance look better - but since I'm so close at this level with the balance down, go ahead and give me my shares C fund.