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  1. Light volume drifting

    Things could have been worse for the stock market yesterday as an early 150-point decline in the Dow, turned into just a 31-point loss by the close.

    Between 1:00 and 1:30 PM ET, stocks found some support at last week's low point, and started to rebound. Volume was light as you might expect, and the direction remains unpredictable.



    The S&P 500 has been floating just under the 20-day exponential moving ...
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  2. 2008 is making me gun shy

    Stocks put in another typical holiday trading session on Friday as the major indices moved higher on very light volume. The TSP stock funds gained 0.5% to 1.2%, with all funds, including bonds, moving higher.

    The S&P 500 is still unable to climb above the overhead resistance and this would be a negative except that this week should continue to see light volume holiday-type action, with the big money remaining on vacation.

    ...
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  3. Quiet Day

    Stocks had a typical positive bias holiday type trading day on Wednesday, and I wouldn't be surprised to see something similar today. It may or may not be up, but it should be quiet - provided there aren't any surprises announced, such as dismal holiday sales.

    There is some overhead resistance in S&P 500 so I am not looking for any runaway upside action. To me, this chart tells us that the risk remains on the downside, but because it is the day after Christmas, any losses (or ...
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  4. Where's the Santa rally?

    Stocks dipped again yesterday as the Dow dropped 100-points and the C, S, and I-funds lost 1%, 0.75%, and 1.3% respectively. Isn't Santa supposed to be coming to town? The strong seasonality actually begins today, so we'll give him another chance.

    The S&P 500 is actually acting "normally" considering the abnormal season period. The rising wedge broke down after a fake out breakout to the upside of the descending trading channel. Normal. Once the wedge broke, it fell back ...
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  5. The wedge breaks down, but there's a case for the bulls

    Stocks drifted down most of the day, but a late spike higher kept things under control. The Dow dropped "just" 60-points, but this time the S&P 500 and small caps were the laggards.



    The C and S funds were hit hard dropping 1.8% and 2.4% respectively, while the I-fund, with the help of more weakness in the dollar, lost just 0.45%.

    The S&P 500 finally gave a convincing break to the downside ...
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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes