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Daily Market Commentary

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  1. TSP Talk: Dow leads, small caps lag to start 2nd quarter

    The Dow jumped another 300+ points to start April and the second quarter, but it was a little more mixed out there than the Dow suggested. Tech, the Transports, and small caps lagged on the day. The I-fund led the TSP funds with another decline in the dollar assisting. OPEC+ is cutting oil their supply so we are seeing oil prices move up again.

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  2. TSP Talk: March comes in like a bear, and out like a bull

    The 1st quarter ended with an exclamation point as the Dow gained 415-points, small caps jumped 2%, and the bulls have seemingly taken full control. It was a quarter that saw the small caps have a great January, but things turned around in March after the banking issues, and now it's the I and and C-funds leading the way for the year, but here comes a new month and a new quarter and the bears may have something to say after lying down for the last couple of weeks. Bonds rallied as yields are near ...
  3. TSP Talk: Q1 window dressing rally continues

    The market continued its upside momentum as we head into the end of a successful first quarter for stocks. The Dow was up 141-points, and other than some minor losses in the Russell 2000, the gains were fairly broad among the various indices. Bonds were up on a dip in yields, and the I-fund led the TSP funds with the help of another decline in the dollar.

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  4. TSP Talk: Bulls making a statement in face of recession fears

    The market has been climbing that wall of worry in the latter half of March as the bank failures have come out of the headlines and investors are now more focused on the Fed possibly pausing or cutting interest rates before the end of the year. The Dow gained 323-points, or 1%, and that was the lagging index of the major indices. Bond yields lost a large morning gain to end lower, sending bond prices and the F-fund up modestly. The I-fund broke out of its descending channel and the S&P is ...
  5. TSP Talk: New quarter, new direction?

    The intraday charts look choppy but the trading has been slow and on lighter volume recently, and in the final hour of trading we've been seeing a push in the opposite direction of the earlier trends. On Monday we saw some late selling in a more positive day of trading, and yesterday we saw late buying after a mostly negative day. The Dow gave up 38-points but most of the indices were fairly flat by the close with tech stocks lagging some again. Bonds were down as yields continue to bounce off ...
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