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Daily Market Commentary

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  1. TSP Talk - Rally hits a speed bump

    Stocks sold off on Tuesday after those telling Monday negative reversals. The losses were steep but there was some late buying, although even with that late push most of the major indices were down 1% or more. Bonds were up on a big drop in yields following a weaker than expected manufacturing number. Lower yields however, did not save the small caps this time. The I-fund did sidestep a lot of the decline in US stocks.

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  2. TSP Talk - Slow start to new week with negative reversal day

    It was a choppy session of trading on Monday that ended with some late selling to pull most of the indices down into negative territory by the close. Small caps gave up a big intraday gain to close flat, and it was the leading fund yesterday. The I-fund and F-fund were both down modestly, so as bad as all the red looks, it was a fairly flat day for stocks that was marred by some late selling which may have created technical issues on some of the charts.

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  3. TSP Talk - Goldilocks data, new highs, and some seasonal weakness

    Stocks and bonds had a strong day on Friday, tacking onto Thursday's rally after the tame PCE Pricing data, so the stock market, which has been whipsawed by the on again, off again, inflation / interest rate cut scenario, finds itself reacting positively to the recent dovish after data. The Dow gained a modest 91-points on Friday, but the broader indices performed much better with gains near, or just over, 1% on the day. Bonds rallied and with yields falling, and the I-fund played a little catch ...
  4. TSP Talk - Calming inflation data sends stocks higher

    Stocks gapped up on Thursday morning after the favorable PCE / Income and Spending reports came out before the opening bell. The gap was quickly filled soon afterward and then the bulls went on their merry way into the close. The Nasdaq led as the AI headlines keep tech hot. The I-fund lagged - probably because of the late push higher in US stocks that did not get priced into the overseas markets. Bonds were up as yields dipped on the PCE data.

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  5. TSP Talk - Stocks tentative into today's PCE report

    A little more backing and filling in the indices yesterday in front of today's important PCE Prices and Personal Income / Spending reports. The Dow was down 23-points but actually closed at the highs of the day, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were choppy and posted modest to moderate losses. The S and I-funds were down as well and lagged the large caps returns as they were trying to fill in some recently opened gaps. Bonds were up as yields slipped lower, and the dollar was up.
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