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Daily Market Commentary

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  1. TSP Talk - Uncertainty surrounds the jobs report

    Three months down, two months up, now January starts the New Year on the downside. We did see a little buying on Friday but the indices closed off their highs in a choppy day of trading following a decent, but mixed message jobs report. We'll discuss that below. The Dow gained 26-points on the day and the gains were very modest in most of the indices, but the bulls were just happy to see green after the rough start to the year. Bonds were down as yields moved up on the jobs report beat.
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  2. TSP Talk - The pullack continues heading into the jobs report

    The Dow managed a small gain on Thursday but the broader markets gave up their early gains and closed near their lows of the day posting moderate losses. The 10-year Treasury Yield moved back up to 4% yesterday and that put some pressure on stocks. At this point, after three days of selling - four if you include the losses on New Year's Eve - capital gains selling should be wrapping up and the bulls may make an attempt in the coming days to resume the rally, if the bears allow it. The "as ...
  3. TSP Talk - Dip, pullback, correction, or repeat of 1999 - 2000?

    After the bears hibernated for a couple of months, it's as if someone threw a switch to start the New Year. It was day two of the 2024 pullback as we saw moderate to sharp losses in most of the major indices yesterday. Mixed messages from the Fed had the Dow down 285-points while yields and the dollar were also mixed which muddied the waters a bit. However you slice it, the market was extended in the short term and this is not a surprise, but how long can it last?

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  4. TSP Talk - A weak start to the New Year

    A downgrade of Apple helped trigger some selling in big tech yesterday and that weighed heavily on many of the indices, although a late rally did push the Dow into positive territory. Small caps started the day with relative strength but gave way by the close day to lag and lose over 1% on the day. It was a weak start to the new year in bonds as well, as yields and the dollar rallied and were a drag on the stock market but will yesterday's action be a turning point, or just a needed rest from ...
  5. TSP Talk - Happy New Year! Now what?

    2023 wrapped up with some modest losses on Friday. It was a year that had something for everyone with the both the bulls and bears having their moments. The Dow lost 20-points on the last trading day of the year, which was basically flat. The broader S&P 500 and Nasdaq had larger percentage losses and the small caps took the biggest hit and that may have been a result of profit taking after a near 12% gain for the month. The I-fund managed to hold onto a slight gains and bonds pulled back ...
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