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Daily Market Commentary

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  1. TSP Talk: Resistance proves stubborn

    Stocks pulled back on Wednesday as they digest the recent gains. I don't think the action told us much because some consolidation after a week long rally is normal, but it could also give bears the opening they've been waiting for to sell a bear market rally - it's tough to say after one down day. The Dow lost 449-points while small caps lagged. Bonds rallied after a sharp 2-day decline. Oil rallied higher.

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  2. TSP Talk: Stocks resume rebound off the lows

    Stocks bounced right back from Monday's hiccup, and the rally off the recent lows resumed. The Dow gained 254-points but the indices closed very close to the opening bell highs, so they didn't make much headway after that opening rally. The recent investor sentiment, where investors quickly sold rallies, may be waning, but the stocks charts are not quite out of the woods yet. Bonds continue to struggle as the yield on the 10-year made another new high, and the 2/10 yield curve gets closer to ...
  3. TSP Talk: Stocks were down, but it could have been worse

    Stocks were lower on Monday but it wasn't all bad as we saw some buying in the final hour of trading to take the indices well off the earlier lows of the day. That final hour tends to be considered more of the "smart money" activity, but yesterday it could have also been some follow up positive momentum after last week's big rally. The Dow lost 202-points on the day with Boeing being drag on the index after the horrific plane crash in China. Bonds were down as yields and the price of ...
  4. TSP Talk: Was last week's rally the real deal, or just a bear market rally?

    A tremendous 4-day rally was capped off on Friday with another 1% to 2% rally in the indices, cutting into the hefty 2022 losses, and getting the bulls excited about the prospect that the correction may be over. The Dow gained 274-points while the Nasdaq and the small caps led. Even bonds had a good day. The Dow Transports didn't participate but they were coming off a monster 3-day rally.

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  5. TSP Talk: The rebound continued

    The market rebound continued on Thursday with more big gains across the board. The Dow gained 418-points and small caps led the way again with a near 2% gain. The price of oil spiked higher making the rally in stocks that much more impressive because crude is back over $100 a barrel. Bonds were up slightly despite another new closing high for the 10-year Treasury yield.

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