TSP Talk Blog

Stocks remained buoyant as the bears have apparently stepped aside again after trying to take a stand on Monday. The buying wasn't heavy, but it was the lack of sellers that seemed to keep the indices afloat. The Dow gained 33-points.

Daily TSP Funds Return More returns

The small caps had a big day and competed a two-day rally that recaptured Monday's losses. The I-fund was down slightly with the dollar being up again, and the F-fund was flat.


It wasn't a huge day, but the SPY (S&P 500 / C-fund) made a new high yesterday, and more importantly for us watching the inverted head and shoulders pattern, pushed back above the neckline resistance. There was a somewhat similar pattern in September where the S&P made a brief new high, that turned out to be a short-term peak.


Chart provided courtesy of www.stockcharts.com, analysis by TSP Talk

The Wilshire 4500 (S-fund) is now back to where it was last Friday, before Monday's sell-off. Whatever spooked the small caps on Monday has apparently resolved itself. It is still below some key resistance so it's not out of the woods yet.


Chart provided courtesy of www.stockcharts.com, analysis by TSP Talk

The EFA (EAFE Index / I-fund) posted a small loss and remains in limbo between the 50 and 200-day EMAs.


Chart provided courtesy of www.stockcharts.com, analysis by TSP Talk

The dollar's strength continues to hold the I-fund back. There is a possible rising wedge that could be testing resistance soon, and rising wedges tend to break downward.


Chart provided courtesy of www.stockcharts.com, analysis by TSP Talk

Today is trading day #4 and the seasonality becomes a bit of a headwind for the next couple of weeks.



The AGG (Bonds / F-fund) was down again and looking for support after the short-term trend recently reversed to the downside.


Chart provided courtesy of www.stockcharts.com, analysis by TSP Talk


Administrative Note: It's that time of year again. We're getting prepared to roll over the 2014 AutoTracker accounts into 2015! We will only copy the active 2014 accounts, so don't be left out!

If you have not logged into the AutoTracker in the last 60 days or more, it's time to do so or you will risk not having your account rolled into 2015.

To login, go to TSP Talk AutoTracker , or... click here.

For more information about the AutoTracker see: AutoTracker Rules - and how to get started

To go to the main AutoTracker page, go here: TSP Talk AutoTracker

Any inactive accounts, accounts that have been inactive for more than 90-days, will not roll over on January 1.


Read more in today's TSP Talk Plus Report. We post more charts, indicators and analysis, plus discuss the Sentiment Survey Results and the allocations of the TSP and ETF Systems. For more information on how to gain access and a list of the benefits of being a subscriber, please go to: www.tsptalk.com/plus.php

Thanks for reading! We'll see you back here tomorrow.

Tom Crowley


Posted daily at TSP Talk Market Commentary

The legal stuff: This information is for educational purposes only! This is not advice or a recommendation. We do not give investment advice. Do not act on this data. Do not buy, sell or trade the funds mentioned herein based on this information. We may trade these funds differently than discussed above. We use additional methods and strategies to determine fund positions.