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TSP Talk Blog

This and that about the market, the TSP, maybe some politics, and life.

  1. Bulls trying to hold on


    S
    tocks were mixed after a choppy day on Wall Street. A late spike higher took the Dow to a 47-point gain, but the S&P 500 was basically flat and small caps and the Nasdaq were each down about half of a percent.

    The bears were selling the rallies but we finally saw the bulls step up and buy the dips a couple of times yesterday. Being quite oversold, perhaps the indices are due for some relief.

    ...
  2. Tests and breakdowns


    The downside continued on Monday and we are now seeing the tests of the August lows play out. The Dow lost 313-points as concerns over the state of the global economy have risen with signs of a slowdown popping up in various data.

    Some indices, like the small caps, have now fallen through those lows and they cut through that support like a hot knife through butter. Technically
    ...
  3. Negative reversal on Friday. Now what?


    F
    riday was one of the most mixed days that we have seen in a long time. Stocks all opened higher on Friday morning and the Dow was up a solid 264-points as late as 1:15 PM ET, but things started to fade as we headed into the late afternoon trading.

    By the close the Dow was up "just" 113-points, but small caps were down sharply, and the Nasdaq was down over 1%. The Transportation Index held onto a 0.9% gain, and you can see below that the I-fund gained
    ...
  4. Rates up by end of the year


    Down 264-points at its lowest level on Thursday morning, the Dow climbed back in afternoon trading and ended the day down just 79-points. Janet Yellen spoke after hours and short sellers may have wanted to lighten up on their bearishness before her speech.

    Yellen made it fairly clear that interest rates will be going up later this year. I guess the questions now are, will it be at the October or December meeting?
    ...
  5. Stocks down but holding on


    St
    ocks opened slightly higher on Wednesday after a wild night in the futures market Tuesday, which had the major futures stock indices down about 1% before rallying back into positive territory by the open on Wednesday morning. But the selling started and leaked into the cash hours trading and the indices ended the day with modest losses. The Dow gave up 51-points, after being down 118 at the lows, in another light volume trading day.

    ...
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