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  1. Bonds are the New Stocks



    The bond market lost its grip today. The bond ETF BND (F-fund) lost more than 1% today while U.S. stock indices closed within 0.1% of Friday's price. The difference in price range is counter to what you'd expect between stocks and bonds. U.S. Treasury issued bonds are typically thought to be a safer bet and less volatile than stocks. In normal economic conditions, the assurance of the U.S. government to pay back bond holders keeps yields (and thus bond prices) relatively stable.
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  2. TSP Talk: No surprises with the CPI, the market approves.


    Stocks reclaimed some of the recent losses Tuesday, but it wasn't smooth sailing. Prices were up right out the gate in reaction to the February Consumer Price Index coming in on target, meaning it was the lowest year-over-year increase since September of 2021. Prices rose further; within a couple hours the indices had gains of over 2%. But the excitement halted, the gains were being given back quickly in the second half of the day as if the early eager buyers were just as eager to lock in
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  3. TSP Talk: Fed contains bank run, but now faces CPI.


    Yesterday was our third day of bank drama and, despite a second bank failing over the weekend, it was the calmest action of the three. Stock indices opened down sharply, quickly slipped lower, then bounced back above the opening prices within the first hour of trading. Once the dust settled, index prices danced between a trading range contained by confusion and the unknown. Eventually the indices closed at the low end of that trading channel, but for the S&P 500 that meant only a 0.16% loss.
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  4. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    I apologize for the late post and for anyone waiting for the Weekly Wrap Up for this week. I'm on vacation this weekend and couldn't find the time for the report with my travel plans. I'll keep it real short here but let's note that stocks had a great week despite the negative GDP numbers and another 0.75% rate hike by the Fed.


    Transfer 10/19 for 10/20/04-073122-gif


    I hope most of you caught some of the gains. Good luck next week.


    Thomas A Crowley
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  5. TSP Talk: Concerns of lockdowns lead to a broad sell-off in stocks.


    Stocks depressed Thursday with concerns of the economy's recovery following a couple days of choppy action. Investors took some profits after the excitement in stocks through the election and the vaccine trial news. In retrospect profit taking seemed inevitable but we all know the market doesn't always play with logic.

    Investors are looking past the step towards a vaccine and stimulus package to focus in on the short-term. New Covid-19 cases are consistently at or around record
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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

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BND (F Fund) (delayed)

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