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TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Ups

Posted each Saturday

  1. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up - One Day of Stock Exposure


    This week was one to give any stockholder whiplash. The latest Consumer Price Index came out Tuesday and its higher-than-expected reading sparked a sell-off that was easy to mistake for the start of a deeper correction. But instead, stock indices bounced back amply on Wednesday — this was most true for small caps and the S-fund. Prices continued higher on Thursday, but the C and S-funds ended the week with losses on Friday.

    The I-fund's positive return on Friday pushed its
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  2. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up - The S-fund Opportunity


    The S-fund gave us an early buying opportunity early this last week, and we missed it. The market pulled back this previous Monday with all of the TSP funds outside of the G-fund starting their week with a loss. The worst of the damage came from the S-fund's 1.29% loss, this becomes more significant considering the C and I-funds' Monday losses were under 0.5%. But this S-fund Monday stumble turned out to be the best buying opportunity for the week. TSP investors who bought the S-fund on
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  3. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up



    The opportunity of the week was to buy the C-fund on Wednesday. The C and S-fund pulled back sharply on Wednesday after the Federal Open Markets Committee took stage to deviate from investors' expectations of the Fed Fund rate path. The market has been pricing in a rate cut in the March meeting for some time, but the Fed and their chairman Jerome Powell are not so sure they want to pull the trigger so soon. The
    probability of a rate cut in March dropped sharply after the FOMC policy
    ...
  4. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up



    TSP investors holding the S-fund over last weekend were welcomed Monday with a 1.53% gain. This was a grand outperformance against the other TSP funds for Monday, but investors who held the S-fund through the rest of the week were left with a weekly gain of only 1.21%. The I-fund ended up with the best weekly performance with a 1.62% return.




    In retrospect, it seems the best possible
    ...
  5. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up - The Best Trade of the Week



    The C-fund has been the fund to hold in 2024, and only a few members have been able to out smart it so far.

    The C-fund reached new all-time highs to conclude Friday's rally in large caps. Meanwhile, the S, I, and even the F-fund have all slipped lower so far in 2024. All three of these funds have losses deeper than 1% for the year led by the S-fund's 2.45% loss.

    The market was open for only four days last week, but quickly market participants had to face
    ...
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