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TommyIV's TSP Talk Blog

Check out this blog for the TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Ups and the Sentiment Survey results.

The Weekly Wraps should be posted on Saturdays, and the Sentiment Survey results get posted by Monday morning.

  1. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Stocks were mixed this week with low volume trading and low volatility. Large caps were up slightly while small caps pulled back amidst the anticipation of the tax cuts. Debatably, the tax cuts may already be priced in but the fear of being left out of a potential rally sparked from a tax cut deal is keeping traders from selling. However, reason to buy seem to be diminishing and the potential for a 'sell the news' reaction could have them leaning the wrong way when an announcement is made. Perhaps ...
  2. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    September's momentum carried into October. The first week of the new month marked the 4th consecutive week of gains for the S&P 500. Thursday set the longest record in 20 years with 6 consecutive closing highs for the S&P 500. Stocks pulled back on Friday after the first negative jobs report in seven years but some of the early losses were erased as buyers took control of the second half of the day to inch the index to just under flat.

    Employment in September's jobs report was expected ...

    Updated 10-07-2017 at 04:57 PM by TommyIV

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    TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Ups
  3. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Stocks pressed on this week making a mockery of the "uphill" September seasonality warned by nearly all market analysts and any bear alike. Record low volatility may have been the only evidence of the September seasonality this month but there always seemed to be buyers available.

    For instance, this Wednesday President Trump laid out his highly anticipated tax plan. The potential for the president's tax policy was deemed a great contributor to the relentless bull market we've seen ...

    Updated 10-02-2017 at 01:32 AM by TommyIV

    Categories
    TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Ups
  4. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Stocks managed to produce gains this week despite the history of negative seasonality, a threatening North Korea, and a hawkish Fed. A rise in bank shares kept the S&P 500 barely afloat. A slight jump up at Monday's open pretty much marked the trading range for the index. This week was the smallest weekly range for the S&P 500 since November of 2014. This is all while the index is sitting around its highs.

    The Fed met this week and though it was nearly certain there would be no rate ...
  5. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    The total damage was less than the expected from Hurricane Irma last weekend. Traders took notice therefore stocks opened up Monday morning. The intraday momentum carried as others did not want to be left behind and we had what we might call a relief rally. This produced the significant gains of the week with both the C and S-fund up more than 1% Monday.

    The action in stocks was mixed for the rest of the week. More gains were produced three of the following four days in stocks, to ...
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S&P 500 (C Fund)
S&P 500 INDEX,RTH (^GSPC)
DWCPF (S Fund)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index (^DWCPF)
EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)
AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)