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TommyIV's TSP Talk Blog

Check out this blog for the TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Ups and the Sentiment Survey results.

The Weekly Wraps should be posted on Saturdays, and the Sentiment Survey results get posted by Monday morning.

  1. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Stocks progressed closer to the January highs this week. Investor's nerves over the steel and aluminum tariffs settled as U.S. allies were given exemptions eliminating worries of a trade war. A better than expected jobs report sparked a rally Friday putting the S&P 500 at its highs for the week at the close. The 313,000 jobs added in February marked the greatest gain in jobs since July of 2016. This was coupled with a slowed rate of wage growth to 2.6% from 2.9% in January. The numbers suggest economic ...
  2. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Stocks peaked on Tuesday morning this past week, then sold-off for three days to push all the TSP stock funds down 1% to near 3%. Investors starting selling during the new Fed Chairmen Jerome Powell's testimony to congress Tuesday due to his positive outlook on economic growth and his not so dovish comments on the potential of as many as four interest rate hikes by the Fed this year. It is not the Fed's job to keep the stock market up but Mr. Powell did make comments about previous Fed moves that ...
  3. Some Perspectives on the F-fund

    It has been no secret bonds have been a poor investment this year. The F-fund is down 2.28% in 2018 as of February 27th making it the only TSP fund with a negative return. The underperformance of the F-fund stands out when compared to the outperforming C-fund which is up 2.95% in 2018. With the recent correction in the major stock indices, there has been an increase of uncertainty in the stock market despite the fact that those indices seem to be on course to erase those correction losses in record ...

    Updated 02-27-2018 at 10:19 PM by TommyIV

  4. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Stocks were able to rally into Friday's close to produce gains for the week after a three day pattern of falling off intraday highs after early gains. This put the S&P 500 up 4.9% for the last two weeks, its largest two week gain since February of 2015.

    Wednesday's intraday sell-off was credited to traders' reaction to the Fed minutes where the plans for multiple rate hikes this year seem to still be on track. Stocks have become more sensitive to such news since the correction a couple ...
  5. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Stocks rallied this week recovering some gains lost in recent sell-off. The major indices traded less volatile than the last two weeks though volatility was still greater than where it was prior to the sell-off. The action was similar to the weeks prior to the sell-off as if investors quickly got their confidence back in this market. Traders took the 10% correction and the successful support of long-term trend lines as an opportunity to buy.

    Consumer reports this week provided evidence ...

    Updated 02-18-2018 at 12:06 PM by TommyIV

    TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Ups
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EFA (I Fund)
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AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)