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  1. Trading the Stats: Week 2

    When it's bad, it's bad...

    This was the S&P 500’s single worst Week 1 performance over the previous 41 yearly starts, and the 24th worst over the past 2,139 weeks, putting it in the bottom 2%.
    For the Wilshire 4500, this was the single worst Week 1 performance over the previous 28 yearly starts, and the 21st worst over the past 1,461 weeks, putting it in the bottom 2%. For AGG, it was the 2nd best Week 1 performance over the previous 12 yearly starts, and the 68th best
  2. December Jobs Report

    292,000 jobs added in December and unemployment rate is 5.0.


    U.S. payrolls surge in December in boost to economic outlook

    "Nonfarm payrolls increased by 292,000 last month, the Labor Department said on Friday. The unemployment rate held steady at a 7-1/2-year low of 5 percent even as more people entered the labor force, a sign of confidence in the job market."

  3. Worst start to a new year, ever

    Well, we just experienced the worst 4-day start for stocks to a New Year - ever! That's right, the Dow and S&P 500 have never been down this much after the 1st 4 trading days of a new year. Who knows how the year will end, but these slow starts tend to set the tone for the year. If that's the case, then we can expect volatility to be elevated this year. That could mean trouble... for stocks, but it's good opportunities for market timers who are on the right side of the trades.
  4. Downside continues

    Stocks resumed their losing was on Wednesday as the Dow shed another 252-points and losses of greater than 1% were seen across the board. It's the worst start to a new year since 2008.

    What's interesting is that in all of the last three days, and you can see below that the stock funds are down 2.6% to 3.2% for the year, stocks rallied in the afternoon to close well off the loss. It doesn't look like much in the intraday chart below, but that is a 100-point rally off ...
  5. The bulls try but fail to reverse Monday's losses.

    Stocks opened slightly higher on Tuesday, but over all it was a disappointing bounce considering the damage done on Monday. The bulls were able to close the indices off the lows, as they did on Monday, but the action on Tuesday suggests the bears are still hanging around. The Dow gained 10-points on the day and the broader indices were mixed but mostly flat.

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S&P 500 (C fund)
Dow Completion (S fund)
EFA (I fund)
Bonds (F fund)