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  1. Below the 50 days MA's


    07/01/13

    I remember back in the 70's when a radio disc jockey in New York would play a popular song, and when it was over they'd announce in a colorful voice, "Instant Replay!", and then they'd play the same song a second time.

    Well, I'm going to do an "Instant Reply" to the start of Friday's commentary, with just minor changes...

    It was another triple
    ...
  2. Seasonality Meets Resistance

    Last week's Top 50 buy signal was a winner. It didn't look good early on last week given Monday's follow through downside action, but the major indexes posted some nice weekly gains as sentiment got overly bearish. We've seen that happen before.

    Here's this week's charts:

    Mutual Funds-fund-allocation-~-top-50-chart-3-jpg
    Mutual Funds-2013-top-50-trend-jpg

    The Top 50 increased their collective stock exposure by 22% going into the new week, which is a sell signal. But these ...
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  3. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up


    Stocks started the week moving sharply lower as the Dow lost 140-points on Monday, but three days of big gains helped push the indices into positive territory for the week, despite weakness on Friday.

    Here are the up to date TSP fund returns through June 28 and the final numbers for the month of June. The week ended with gains in all funds, while only the G-fund managed again in June. The C and S funds continue to lead the way at
    ...
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    TSP Weekly Wrap Ups
  4. Resistance is here


    06/28/13

    It was another triple digit move for the Dow yesterday, but who's counting? OK, I will. That's 4 triple digit moves in a row. 12 in the last 13 trading days. 15 of 19 trading days in June. And 18 triple digit moves in the last 23 days. Yesterday the Dow was up 114-points.

    ...
  5. Sentiment Survey Results...

    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 7/01/13- 7/04/13

    Hold: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 55% bulls, 36% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 1.53 to 1. That is a neutral reading in a bull market which means the survey system will remain in a 100% S fund allocation for the week of 7/01/13 - 7/05/13.

    Bull market rules have been in effect since the week of 1/09/12:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment ...
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

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BND (F Fund) (delayed)

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Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes