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  1. Failed breakouts and reversals in bonds

    06/12/13

    It was another triple digit move for the Dow yesterday; this one a loss as turmoil over the Bank of Japan's decision to hold their monetary policy steady saw stocks around the world decline. The Japanese Nikkei Index had tumbled over 3000 points in the last couple of weeks so many expected some kind of change in their policy.


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  2. A pause, and another Omen


    06/11/13

    Stock opened higher on Monday morning but the spike was met with immediately selling pressure. From there the indices rebounded again and straddled the break-even mark all day where the Dow and S&P 500 closed basically flat.

    Small caps and the I-fund led the way with modest gains while the Dow Transportation index saw minor losses.

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  3. Sweet spot

    06/10/13

    Despite an uptick in the unemployment rate to 7.6%, the number of private sector jobs created in May turned out to be just what Wall Street wanted to hear. They are calling it the Goldilocks report - just right. I've called it the sweat spot. The Dow gained 207-points on the news.
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  4. Down, Up, Down?

    No signals for this week from the auto-tracker. Last week, the Total Tracker came close to a sell signal with a jump of almost 8% in stock allocation and it may have been close enough as we had significant selling pressure earlier in the week, but the market came back by week's end to close positive across all TSP stock funds.

    Mutual Funds-fund-allocation-~-top-50-chart-3-jpg
    Mutual Funds-2013-top-50-trend-jpg

    This week, the Top 50's stock exposure dipped by 1.34% to a total allocation ...
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  5. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up


    Volatility picked up last week as we saw two days with 200+ point moves in the Dow, three total triple digits moves, and none less than 75-points. Volatility is generally a bearish sign but there was some very positive activity to end the week and we'll have to see how investors react post-jobs report.

    Thursday the indices put in a positive reversal day and we had a big bullish follow through day on Friday after the May jobs report on Friday, which actually saw an increase
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    TSP Weekly Wrap Ups
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