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According to the Stock Trader's Almanac, December is the month in which the S&P 500 (C fund) has performed the best (going back more than 60 years). It is also the month when the January effect begins. The January effect is a seasonal anomaly in the financial market where where the price of stocks increase in the month of January more than any other month. However, the January effect now seems to be begin around mid-December.

So seasonality is now in the bulls' favor.
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It was a holiday shortened week with typical pre / post Thanksgiving activity. Volume was light but the bias was up. Post holiday trading can prove tough to analyze since there is a positive bias during the pre-holiday trading and there tends to be reversals after the holiday. So, does that mean stocks are due for a little pullback this coming week, or is this rally unstoppable?



Three ...

We're seeing typical holiday action with light volume and a positive bias. The Dow ended the day up 25-point, small caps led the way, and bonds were down. Friday historical seasonality is about the same, and the market closes 3 hours early. After the holiday weekend however, a slightly negative bias kicks in except that it is the beginning of a new month, which has a positive bias. It's a coin flip.
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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 12/02/13- 12/06/13

The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 62% bulls, 29% bears.

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The legal stuff: This information is for educational purposes only! This is not advice or a recommendation. We do not give investment advice. Do not act on this data. Do not buy, sell or trade the funds mentioned herein based on this information. ...

RevShark's Traditional Thanksgiving Column

Thanksgiving is one of those holidays that is very easy to take for granted. We enjoy some time off from work, have a good meal, watch some sports and visit family and friends. That is usually good enough but I’ve found it useful to spend a little time reflecting on the literal meaning of ‘thanks giving. We have all been blessed in various ways and reflecting on it keeps us humble and helps us appreciate what we have. ...