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Stocks did not disappoint those expecting the positive seasonality rally during Christmas week. The holiday shortened week produced solid gains with the I-fund leading the way, while bonds and the F-fund were the losers.



Here are the weekly, monthly, and annual TSP fund returns through Friday, December 27...



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Holiday bullishness persists as the Dow gained another 122-points on Thursday. The broader indices weren't quite as strong as the S&P 500, and more so the small caps, saw smaller gains percentage-wise.
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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 12/30/13- 1/03/14

The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 71% bulls, 19% bears.

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Get the Sentiment System Signals...

Welcome back! I hope everyone enjoyed their Christmas and their time off. We're still in holiday mode here, and likely in the stock and bond markets until January 2nd.

So far so good for the positive seasonal bias. The bears are hibernating and the bulls are reaping the rewards of the last 5 days of trading, helped by a jolt from the Fed last week. The Dow gained 63-points on Tuesday ...

Another typical holiday trading day on Monday and the gains were even bigger than the already strong seasonal averages. The Dow gained 73-points as the bears stayed home and the bulls remain in control.
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