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  1. Modest Rise in Cash Levels

    As I mentioned in my blog yesterday, I'm posting how our Top 25% account performers are positioned going into today's market action.
    TSP Withdrawal Plans-allocation-fund-~-2009-chart-1-jpg
    As I expected, we see a modest rise in cash levels today.
    TSP Withdrawal Plans-total-cash-stock-exp-~-2009-chart-1-jpg
    Cash up, Stocks down. But the context is still quite bullish longer term.
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  2. Not so bad when you step back

    To make a long story short this is nothing more than a strong pullback within an uptrend where we're taking the stairs up and elevator down.

    For the first three charts, all have a green rising trendline you can draw going back to March. As long as we remain above that line, I'll believe the uptrend is still intact.

    Of the top three the Dow Jones Transportation Average is the weakest. On Sep 16th it gave us a 1 day early signal telling us the uptrend was losing momentum.
    ...

    Updated 09-24-2009 at 08:19 PM by JTH

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  3. Snake Eyes

    The current rally has at least temporarily run out of steam and the Seven Sentinels did indeed issue a sell signal today so I'll be moving to G fund tomorrow.

    However, this is still a bull market until proven otherwise. The underlying strength has been phenomenal and I seriously doubt we turn down for much longer or go too deep. Bearishness has been quick to rise and that's what has really kept this market moving higher. And there's no reason to think now will be any different. Having ...
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  4. That's What I Expected

    Chop. We're down, we're up, we're down again. That's what I expected to see this week and so far that's what's happening. We gave back a good portion of yesterday's gains on the Fed announcement, but as expected no revelations were forthcoming.

    The Seven Sentinels continue to hold their buy signal, which of course I'm happy to see as we now only have one more week till October 1st and two new Interfund Transfers (IFT).

    Today's charts:
    TSP Withdrawal Plans-$namo-jpg ...

    Updated 09-23-2009 at 06:48 PM by coolhand

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  5. That's Why I'm Using a System

    I'm always trying to get a "feel" for what the markets are going to do next. Every day, every week it's some new concern(s). Check this, check that, measure this, measure that. Day after day. It can be enjoyable, but can it be profitable? Can you keep your emotion out of the way while taking it all in? It's not as easy as it may seem.

    As we saw today, in spite of the concerns of many traders, selling continues to remain in check. Not only did we not get any selling today, but the ...

    Updated 09-22-2009 at 08:25 PM by coolhand

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S&P 500 (C Fund)
S&P 500 INDEX,RTH (^GSPC)
DWCPF (S Fund)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index (^DWCPF)
EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)
AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)