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  1. Santa Claus rally begins

    Stocks opened strongly on Monday morning but the bears, who had the downside momentum coming into this week, tried to make a stand and sell the rally. It worked for a few hours but the positive holiday bias seemed to kick in and we saw the indices close near their highs. The Dow gained 123-points.

    Traders do not like to lose money on the short side of the market this week. Not that they like to lose money anytime, but betting against stocks as a trader this week is ...
  2. Sentiment Survey Results...


    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 12/21/15 - 12/25/15

    The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 65% bulls, 21% bears.

    See latest survey results


    Get the Sentiment System Signals...
  3. Market needs help from a Santa Claus rally

    Stocks sold off for a second straight day on Friday, ending a wild week on Wall Street that concluded with its 6th consecutive tripe digit move in the Dow, a loss of 367-points. Fortunately for the bulls, the total loss for the weak was "just" 137-points since three of last week's triple digit moves were positive.

    It seems surprising, but for the week the C, S, and I TSP stocks fund were down 0.31%, down 0.34%, and up 0.81% respectively. Yes, the I-fund gained ...
  4. Where's the Cheer?

    We are now officially into the holiday season and many traders and institutional investors will be taking a break from active trading. There was a lot of volume last week and Friday saw some of the heaviest volume of the year as selling pressure pushed the S&P 500 into the red with only 8 trading days left to the year. And there is no shortage of bearish charts.

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    The Dow Jones Transportation Average is one such chart. It struggled all year ...
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  5. Trading the Stats: Week 51

    ___Although we have seen some volatile price action, this week the damage was not as extensive as the perception might be. This was a week where gains were made, then promptly given back, only to have us close just south of flat. But it’s the sting from the previous week’s large decline which still leaves a bitter taste and it appears traders aren’t happy about the current state of the economy. Thus far, this month isn’t trending with the historical norm, month-to-date the S&P 500 is on target for ...
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S&P 500 (C fund)
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Dow Completion (S fund)
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EFA (I fund)
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Bonds (F fund)
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