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  1. TSP Talk: pre-holiday reversal or debt ceiling capitulation?

    The indices continued to retrace last week's big 2-day rally, and perhaps right on cue as we enter the pre-holiday reversal period, and the debt ceiling deadline quickly approaching closer. The Dow lost 231-points, but worse than that was the negative reversal in many indices as the small caps were on the verge of a breakout, but instead failed and rolled over. Yields also rolled over as bonds were up for the first time in 8 trading sessions.

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  2. TSP Talk: Bulls and bears at standoff

    After a mini-breakout in the S&P 500 last week, stocks chopped around on Monday in a tight range, closing mixed but mostly positive. The Dow lost 140-points with retail, energy and large banks dragging the index down, while the S&P (C-fund) and the I-fund were flat, and the broader indices like the Nasdaq and small caps saw modest to strong gains. Bonds were flat to slightly lower as yields continue to rise.

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  3. TSP Talk: Market is expecting good news. Should it?

    A positive open on Friday turned negative by the close for the stock market, so the winning streak for the indices stopped at two, but it was quite a two day period as we finally saw the S&P 500 move to new highs for the year. A little retracing of a big rally is common, but the bulls really want to see some dip buying before any pullback gets serious during this pre-holiday week. The charts look good. The news / story doesn't. Who's got it right?

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  4. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up - A Premature Sigh of Relief



    The bulls found some footing mid-week to give life to what was becoming a dull and directionless stock market. Price range had been shrinking tighter and tighter in the previous week and that continued through the first two days of this week. But top government leaders sparked a two-day rally Wednesday and Thursday when they reassured Americans the U.S. will not default on debt. The confidence that debt-ceiling negotiations were going well was a sigh of relief for the nervous market,
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    Updated 05-21-2023 at 09:37 PM by TommyIV

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    TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Ups
  5. TSP Talk: Upside follow through was much needed

    The bulls managed to put back to back winning days together for just the second time this month. The Dow gained a modest 115-points while the broader indices performed even better. The S&P 500 hit 4200 for the first time since last August, and the Nasdaq is also at August 2022 levels. Both still have a long way to go to reach the all time highs, but it's a start and it is doing so while the market is battling many fundamental roadblocks. Bonds broke down as yields and the dollar continue ...
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