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  1. TSP Talk: Renewed banking issues

    Stocks opened lower on Tuesday after some nervousness over those regional banks again. Meanwhile the back and forth in bonds, the dollar, and stocks is giving investors a headache. The Dow lost 367-points and losses were between 1% and 2% despite the indices closing off their lows of the day after some afternoon buying. Today is day #2 of the FOMC meeting and expectations are for another 0.25% interest rate hike. What isn't expected is what the Fed may say about their next move.

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  2. TSP Talk: Tentative action in front of Wednesday's rate hike

    It was an uneventful start to the new month as stocks traded in a fairly tight range while closing near the lows of that range. The losses were minor despite the news that failing First Republic Bank being bought by JP Morgan Chase. The Dow gave up 46-points, the S&P 500 was flat, and only the S-fund managed a slight gain on the day. Yields were up sharply sending bond prices and the F-fund down, and the I-fund lagged because of strength in the dollar.

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  3. Bonds are the New Stocks



    The bond market lost its grip today. The bond ETF BND (F-fund) lost more than 1% today while U.S. stock indices closed within 0.1% of Friday's price. The difference in price range is counter to what you'd expect between stocks and bonds. U.S. Treasury issued bonds are typically thought to be a safer bet and less volatile than stocks. In normal economic conditions, the assurance of the U.S. government to pay back bond holders keeps yields (and thus bond prices) relatively stable.
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  4. TSP Talk: Big week with Wednesday's rate hike on deck

    Despite Amazon falling 4% after their earnings, the market and the bulls were in a good mood in the final trading day of the month on Friday. The Dow jumped 272-points ending a mixed month for stocks. Earnings have been fairly good from the companies that matter most and that higher tide seems to have lifted all boats last week. Stocks seem to want to go higher, but now we head into a new month and sometimes a new month can mean a new direction. Will it be a year that lives up to the saying, ...
  5. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up



    Mega cap tech earnings helped to elevate large cap indices this week leaving small caps and rational bears behind. The C-fund ended Friday with its second straight month of gains. That was not a shared accomplishment with the S-fund which has slipped in price for the third straight month. This discrepancy between the two U.S. indices is an example of how it is the larger companies that are keeping the economy from a recession. But how long can they hold the weight themselves?
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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

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BND (F Fund) (delayed)

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