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  1. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up - Who Controls the Market?



    This push-and-pull price action is making me dizzy. Who is in control of this market? The bulls have succeeded in keeping the S&P 500 (C-fund) buoyant but lack the conviction to maintain price momentum. The charts look good, the long-term trend is up, and the S&P 500 is trading at its highest level in 2023.

    What the bears have is the Federal Reserve. The 'what ifs' of next week kept investors in check and action tame this week. The Fed makes a rate policy decision Wednesday,
    ...

    Updated 06-10-2023 at 09:55 AM by TommyIV

    Categories
    TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Ups
  2. TSP Talk - large caps bounce back as small caps take a breather

    Strength in large caps and weakness in small caps (Russell 2000) reversed a recent trend, so rather than broad strength, we are still seeing selective strength. The Dow gained 169-points and we saw solid gains in the S&P and especially the Nasdaq, both of which have been flirting with new 2023 highs. Meanwhile there were more stocks down on the NYSE than up yesterday. One day doesn't change a trend, but the fact that they all can't go up together may be telling us something.

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  3. Institutional Investors and Market Sentiment: A Revisit

    Published in the Journal of Financial Economics in 2019 by Zhenyu Gao, Jiang Luo, Haohan Ren, and Bohui Zhang, the paper examines the relationship between institutional investors and market sentiment. The authors find that institutional investors tend to sell (or buy less) risky stocks following high sentiment, and that their trades relate to sentiment corrections.

    Here is a summary of the paper's findings:

    * Institutional investors are more likely to sell (or buy ...
    Tags: aaii, sentiment
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    Uncategorized
  4. TSP Talk - Shifting leadership?

    A mixed day on Wall Street Wednesday as large cap tech has suddenly started to lag, and the broken down charts are improving and leading on the upside. The Dow gained 92-points while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were dragged down by those big tech stocks. Small caps had another good day, but the I-fund suffered another loss and it has also been lagging in recent weeks. Bonds and the F-fund were down on the day.

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  5. TSP Talk - Small banks boosting small caps

    Small caps led the way again yesterday as those regional bank stocks are making a comeback and taking the S-fund with them. The Dow was basically flat and the larger cap indices were up moderately, but the Russell 2000 and the DWCPF (S-fund) gained 2.63% and 1.84% respectively, after the regional bank ETF gained a whopping 5% on the day. Bonds were up slightly, and the dollar is back flirting with its recent highs.

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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes