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  1. Tis the season


    Stocks remained buoyant all day in a typical, low volume, holiday trading day. The Dow closed up 62-points.

    For the TSP, the C-fund gained 0.85% yesterday, the S-fund was up 0.87%, the I-fund made 0.63%, and the F-fund (bonds) added 0.06%.

    The S&P 500 continues to form the right shoulder of an inverted head and shoulders pattern ...
  2. Sentiment Survey Results: Dec 27 - Dec 30

    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 12/27/11- 12/30/11

    Sell: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 71% bulls, 19% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 3.74 to 1. That is the highest ratio since this same week last year in December 2010.

    That is a big sell signal i
    n a bear market which means the system will remain 100% G Fund for the week of 12/27/11 - 12/30/11, but last year the seasonlity won out and we saw modest gains.

    Bear market rules
  3. Santa, Is That You?

    I believe it is, although you can still find disbelievers.

    Forum Icons-santa-clause-waving-jpg

    After seeing the market walk up to the brink of what was looking like a potential correction during the most favored time of the year for stocks, the market has roared back over the past three days. In that time, the S&P 500 has risen about 4%.

    We did get some domestic data early in the day. Third quarter GDP advanced a mere 1.8%, which is less than the 2.% growth ...
  4. Not bad


    Stocks had every reason to do a little pulling back yesterday after Tuesday's 337-point gain, yet the early losses turned into small gains by the close. The Dow closed up 4-points.

    For the TSP, the C-fund gained 0.20% yesterday, the S-fund was up 0.27%, the I-fund lost 0.21%, and the F-fund (bonds) lost 0.19%.

    I look at this as a victory for the ...
  5. Oracle Disappoints

    The major averages were unable to follow through on yesterday's strong advance for a good part of the trading session as Oracle sent shock waves through the market following its first quarterly miss in 10 years.

    Please Try To Keep To The Topic-oracle-jpg

    As a result of the Oracle miss the entire tech sector set a pessimistic tone from the opening bell. The lows of the day came around 1230 EST and from there the market chopped its way higher to end the day mixed with the DOW advancing ...
S&P 500 (C Fund)
DWCPF (S Fund)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index (^DWCPF)
EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)
AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)