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  1. Sensing the frustration


    The Dow closed down 11-points yesterday but stocks were mostly higher on the day as the S&P 500, Nasdaq, small caps, and I-fund stocks all posted modest gains.

    For the TSP, the C-fund gained 0.12% yesterday, the S-fund was up 0.35%, the I-fund made 0.25%, and the F-fund (bonds) picked up 0.08%.

    I am often asked ...
  2. Sentiment Survey Results...

    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 2/06/12- 2/10/12

    Buy: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 50% bulls, 42% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 1.19 to 1. That is another fresh buy signal in a bull market which means the system will remain 100% S Fund for the week of 2/06/12 - 2/10/12.

    Bull market rules are in affect the week of 1/09/12:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment ...
  3. Post Rally Action

    You've been seeing how the market has been chopping around, often closing with mixed results before popping to the upside the past few weeks. Well, that's still the trend. After yesterday's pop, which was preceded by choppy, mixed action, the market has settled back into a largely sideways pattern. One thing to recognize however, is how much stronger the Wilshire 4500 (S fund) has been relative to the S&P 500 (C fund). As of yesterday's close the Wilshire 4500 is up 9.71% not counting today's modest ...
  4. Meet the new month...


    Same as the old month. February starts off with a bang as we saw the Dow up over 150-points during the first hour of trading in the new month. The Dow and S&P did lose some steam late in the day finishing up < 1%, but small caps and the international stocks held onto big gains.

    For the TSP, the C-fund gained 0.91% yesterday, the S-fund ...
  5. Another Pop

    I had mentioned yesterday that I expected this market to pop higher after the sideways, mixed action we had been seeing and sure enough it popped. The move was strong and sustained too.

    Since I'm getting to the computer late tonight, I'm not going to post the charts, but every one of them is on a buy after today's action, which is hardly a surprise. And I have no reason to believe we can't go higher unless sentiment gets too bullish, and I don't think that's a problem yet either. ...
S&P 500 (C Fund)
DWCPF (S Fund)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index (^DWCPF)
EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)
AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)