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  1. Sentiment Survey Results...

    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 7/01/13- 7/04/13

    Hold: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 55% bulls, 36% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 1.53 to 1. That is a neutral reading in a bull market which means the survey system will remain in a 100% S fund allocation for the week of 7/01/13 - 7/05/13.

    Bull market rules have been in effect since the week of 1/09/12:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment ...
  2. Stocks rally on bad news?


    Welcome to Bizarro World. A place where good news is bad, and bad news is good. That is about how I sum up yesterday's action after the Dow gained 150-points.

    With GDP growth estimates at 2.4%, you would think that a stock market might be disappointed when the actual first quarter GDP figure is announced as 1.8%. But in Bizarro World, where the Fed will continue to buy bonds at high rates only if
  3. Will bearishness save us from a crash?


    Stocks rallied sharply yesterday as the Dow gained 101-points on the day. That's 13 triple digit moves for the Dow in the last 17 trading days in June so far, and 10 in the last 11 days.

  4. Bounce or free-fall?


    Stocks dropped again yesterday as the Dow lost another 140-points. We did see a strong mid-day rally that was shaping up as a bullish reversal day, but by the close sellers took control again. The Dow did finish over 100-points off the low, but also 100-points off the high.

  5. Options Friday stops the bleeding


    Stocks stabilized on Friday after the 2-day, 550+ point drop in the Dow during the previous two trading sessions. The Dow gained 41-points and the S&P 500 saw a modest gain, but small caps and the I-fund finished in the red again.

S&P 500 (C Fund)
DWCPF (S Fund)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index (^DWCPF)
EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)
AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)