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After several attempts in February and March, the S&P 500 was finally able to breakout to new highs last week, pushing all three TSP stock funds into double digit gains for 2012. The question now is, will the rally continue, or will the very bullish looking chart of oil become a burden on stock prices?
For the TSP, the C-fund was up 2.48% last week, the S-fund gained 1.66%,
As quickly as sentiment has shifted to a bearish stance when it appeared the market was poised to drop (causing short covering rallies), there are now indications that sentiment may be turning to a more bullish posture.
This is the The NAAIM Survey of Manager Sentiment chart. The link for this is here. Like many sentiment indicators, it has some measure of at least short term predictive value in gauging market direction. It jumped by more
Updated 03-17-2012 at 03:27 PM by coolhand
Defense Conference to Spotlight Social Media, Security Capabilities
By Jack B. Winn
Anyone who has turned on a TV or browsed the Web can tell you that the virtual world can be a dangerous place. That's especially true for social media, where hacktivist groups, cybercriminals and foreign governments mingle under the cover of cyber-anonymity. Now US military and computer security professionals
Stocks did not get off to a good start yesterday, but the bulls picked up momentum and we saw the indices close near the highs of the day. The Dow gained 59-points on the day and the S&P 500 closed above 1400.
For the TSP, the C-fund was up 0.60% yesterday, the S-fund gained 0.87%, the I-fund added 0.75%, and the F-fund (bonds) was up 0.08%.
TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 3/19/12- 3/23/12
Hold: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 52% bulls, 38% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 1.37 to 1. That is neutral reading which means the system will remain 100% S Fund for the week of 3/19/12 - 3/23/12.
Bull market rules are in affect since the week of 1/09/12:
See latest survey results
To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey