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  1. Timing is everything - or nothing

    Stocks rallied to start the new week. The Dow picked up 101-points, or about 0.36%, while the S&P 500 and small caps gained about twice that, but we did see some of the early gains fade by the close. All in all, a good start to the week, but we've now had three days in a row where the highs of the day were made in the first hour of trading, so someone's taking profits. Bonds pulled back again.

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  2. Trade deal is basically a done deal... Now what?

    Stocks were mostly flat on Friday after an early rally faded to end the week. For the week, small caps lagged, but overall stocks performed well after a long awaited trade deal with China was announced. It was just "phase 1" of the deal but the market was clamoring for something after so much speculation. The I-fund did particularly well as the dollar has been falling all month, and bonds were up for the week as well.

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  3. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    All green across the board for TSP funds this week. This was a well anticipated week with the last FOMC meeting of the year along with scheduled tariffs on China coming up with no deal locked in. The result was a dovish Fed and a buzzer beater conclusion to the phase one trade deal. The Fed kept rates steady and made no notions to return to raising rates anytime soon. News that China and the U.S. have officially agreed on the details of the phase one trade deal sent stocks into positive territory ...
  4. China trade deal sparks rally

    Stocks rallied on a Trump trade Tweet early on Thursday, then later again on news of some sort of phase 1 deal being made. The Dow ended the day up 221-points or 0.79%, which was about the same for the other big two major indices, although they were not able to close at the morning highs of the day, which was a little surprising given the news. Bonds pulled back sharply Thursday after Wednesday's rally.

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  5. Fed gives market what they want to hear - are new highs next?

    Stocks rallied at the open on Wednesday, sunk into the afternoon, then bounced back after the FOMC meeting and the release of the Fed's policy statement. The Dow gained 30-points on the day with moderate gains in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, as well as the Transports, and the I-fund. The S-fund lagged slightly closing just slightly north of flat.

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