View RSS Feed

All Blog Entries

  1. Sentiment Survey Results

    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 4/29/13- 5/03/13

    Hold: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 49% bulls, 38% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 1.29 to 1. That is a neutral reading in a bull market which means the survey system will remain in a 100% S fund allocation for the week of 4/29/13 - 5/03/13.

    Bull market rules have been in effect since the week of 1/09/12:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment ...
  2. Trading the Stats: Thursday, April 25th, 2013

    Good morning

    With a .45% intraday swing Wednesday held true to being a flat day typical of a Turn-around Tuesday recovery. Timing wise I still think the markets should pullback from here, but at the same time my market indicators that weigh overbought/oversold levels are not telling me we are due for a selloff, so it’s anyone’s game at this point. With the GDP numbers coming out this Friday, investors may either decide to step out or step in ahead of the numbers.
  3. Charts toppy, indicators not


    Stocks were mixed yesterday as the Dow lost 43-points, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were flat, and the leading Transports and small caps did well.
  4. Trading the Stats: Wednesday, April 24th, 2013

    Good Morning

    A higher close was had on Tuesday, therefore the Positive Friday & Monday Indicator executed successfully.. From Monday’s blog I wrote

    “Looking ahead, I expect this market to resume prices to the upside within the next few days, but I do not expect the markets to make new 52 week higher highs because of the technical damage. From my perspective the downtrend remains intact under 1575 and I wouldn’t be surprised if we started to develop a 1550-1575 trading

    Updated 04-24-2013 at 08:20 AM by JTH (CORRECTION: I'm under in TSP MTD, above in terms of the Wilshire 4500.)

  5. Rally, tweet crash, rally


    Strange day yesterday. Stocks rallied strongly in the morning. plummeted in the early afternoon, and rallied into the close. The Dow gained 152-points, but it had to withstand a mini-crash caused by a tweet hacker.
S&P 500 (C Fund)
DWCPF (S Fund)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index (^DWCPF)
EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)
AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)