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  1. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Stocks started the week moving sharply lower as the Dow lost 140-points on Monday, but three days of big gains helped push the indices into positive territory for the week, despite weakness on Friday.

    Here are the up to date TSP fund returns through June 28 and the final numbers for the month of June. The week ended with gains in all funds, while only the G-fund managed again in June. The C and S funds continue to lead the way at
    TSP Weekly Wrap Ups
  2. Resistance is here


    It was another triple digit move for the Dow yesterday, but who's counting? OK, I will. That's 4 triple digit moves in a row. 12 in the last 13 trading days. 15 of 19 trading days in June. And 18 triple digit moves in the last 23 days. Yesterday the Dow was up 114-points.

  3. Sentiment Survey Results...

    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 7/01/13- 7/04/13

    Hold: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 55% bulls, 36% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 1.53 to 1. That is a neutral reading in a bull market which means the survey system will remain in a 100% S fund allocation for the week of 7/01/13 - 7/05/13.

    Bull market rules have been in effect since the week of 1/09/12:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment ...
  4. Stocks rally on bad news?


    Welcome to Bizarro World. A place where good news is bad, and bad news is good. That is about how I sum up yesterday's action after the Dow gained 150-points.

    With GDP growth estimates at 2.4%, you would think that a stock market might be disappointed when the actual first quarter GDP figure is announced as 1.8%. But in Bizarro World, where the Fed will continue to buy bonds at high rates only if
  5. Will bearishness save us from a crash?


    Stocks rallied sharply yesterday as the Dow gained 101-points on the day. That's 13 triple digit moves for the Dow in the last 17 trading days in June so far, and 10 in the last 11 days.

S&P 500 (C Fund)
DWCPF (S Fund)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index (^DWCPF)
EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)
AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)