View RSS Feed

All Blog Entries

  1. Sentiment Survey Results...

    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 9/10/12- 9/14/12

    The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 45% bulls, 45% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 1.02 to 1. That is a buy signal which means the system will remain 100% S fund for the week of 9/10/12 - 9/14/12.

    Bull market rules have been in effect since the week of 1/09/12:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
  2. Breakout


    Stocks rallied sharply as ECB President Mario Draghi backed up his pledge to do whatever it takes to preserve the euro, saying the ECB's plan for potentially unlimited bond-buying would address "unfounded" fears of investors about the survival of the euro. The Dow gained 245-points.
  3. Mixed signals


    Stocks struggled to find direction yesterday and ended the day mostly flat with a second day of mixed results in the indices. The Dow gained 12-points while the S&P, Nasdaq, and small caps were down slightly.
  4. Small and mid-cap stocks step up, but probably short lived.

    The small-cap and mid-cap stocks have been moving up since June. Consider the Wilshire 4500 index on the chart below. We see a large pennant pattern that started to form in May/June and broke out to the upside in early August. A bearish rising wedge is in play now with a 705 and rising target. Chart indicators RSI are not overbought yet, Rate of Change (ROC) is positive and above the zero line, and MACD and stochastic momentum indicators are neutral to positive. However, the stochastic on the ...
  5. A positive reversal and the VIX


    Stocks were mixed yesterday but put in a nice reversal day as steep early losses were pared by the afternoon, and in some indices, were turned into gains. The Dow closed down 55-points, the S&P slipped less than 2, while the Nasdaq and small caps closed up on the day.
S&P 500 (C fund)
Dow Completion (S fund)
EFA (I fund)
Bonds (F fund)