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  1. Risk On, Risk Off

    by , 03-21-2011 at 05:51 PM (Coolhand's Market Analysis)
    That's how the character of this market is described by some as larger institutions ramp up or reduce market exposure relative to perceived risk. We saw this kind of trading activity during the first half or so of 2010.

    I don't how long we can expect this will last, but I do know it makes for challenging trading in our TSP accounts.

    So stocks had another follow-through day after last week's end of week rally. And it's been impressive as the market's performance these ...

    Updated 03-21-2011 at 08:25 PM by coolhand

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  2. Dow Transports Fake-Out / Breakout

    by , 03-21-2011 at 10:25 AM (TSP Talk Blog)
    The market leader seems to have completed the "fake out" / breakout of the triangle formation...



    The Transports are back above the 20 and 50-day EMA's, and the 20-day EMA is currently back above the 50-day EMA - a bullish move.
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    Miscellaneous
  3. Discuss Market Comments 03/21/11

    by , 03-20-2011 at 10:08 PM (TSP Talk Blog)
    20 / 50 - Stocks rebounded early on Friday, but the rally ran out of steam rather quickly as the day's high was reach just minutes after the opening bell....

    Market Commentary for 3/21/11

    Current Daily Market Commentary
  4. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up - 03/19/11

    by , 03-19-2011 at 03:11 PM (TSP Talk Blog)
    Breakdown

    We saw a nice two-day rally to end the week last week, but a lot of damage was done during the prior three days of trading and if the major indices cannot continue to add to on Thursday and Friday’s rally, I’m afraid we may have witnessed a breakdown.

    For the TSP, the C-fund lost 1.91% on the week, the S-fund lost 1.21%, and the I-fund gave up 2.67% as Japan’s stock market, which makes up about 25% of our I-fund, was hit terribly hard after the earthquake.
    ...
    Categories
    TSP Weekly Wrap Ups
  5. Cautiously Bullish

    by , 03-19-2011 at 09:37 AM (Coolhand's Market Analysis)
    Another big change in one set of charts and only a modest change in the other. Last week the Top 50 significantly reduced their collective stock exposure for the week of 14 March and we saw that move pay some dividends for them as the C fund was down -2.34%, the S fund -1.96%, and the I fund -3.41% for the week. And this was one of those relatively rare occasions where our sentiment survey got it wrong. But few were able to miss the decline through Wednesday and then catch the bounce the balance ...

    Updated 03-19-2011 at 10:27 AM by coolhand

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S&P 500 (C fund)
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Dow Completion (S fund)
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EFA (I fund)
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Bonds (F fund)
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