View RSS Feed

All Blog Entries

  1. Frisky Bear is "Show Off"

    How much should one save?-frisky_bear-jpg

    Perhaps it was the nap or the milk but regardless, when “Frisky the bear” woke up, he/she came out swinging. This decisive move down on the SPX broke important support at 1344 and 1336 (see chart) and closed just above the low of the day at 1325.51; a 2.23% loss. This corrective wave possibility was anticipated in my recent blog “Decision Point.” The importance of the 1344 area was discussed in my recent “Respect the Blue Line” blog. Incidentally, coincidence ...
    Attached Thumbnails Attached Images How much should one save?-frisky_bear-jpg 
  2. The pullback


    Stocks fell sharply yesterday after a bout of weak economic data and more trouble across the pond. The Dow lost 251-points on the day, wiping out all of the week's gains, and that was before the news of Moody's cutting the credit ratings of 15 major banks was released.

  3. Sentiment Survey Results...

    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 6/25/12- 6/29/12

    : The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 29% bulls, 59% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 0.49 to 1. That is a buy signal which means the system will remain 100% S fund for the week of 6/25/12 - 6/29/12.

    Bull market rules have been in effect since the week of 1/09/12:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey ...
  4. One trend breaks


    Stocks were flat to modestly lower most of the morning yesterday before the Fed's policy statement when we got the usual post-Fed fireworks. After all was said and done, the indices were basically flat with the Dow losing 13-points.

  5. Decision Point

    The rally has been explosive, gaining 96 on SPX in the last 12 sessions. Is the rally underway? Certainly the market is gaining strength, but can it continue? There has been a 155 decline from 1422 to 1267, taking 43 trading days, and the rally unfolding in 11 trading days (or 12 if you double count the low day on June 4th). If this is a move against the prevailing bull trend from 1422, then we have an almost perfect 0.618 retracement as wave B, as shown on the chart. If the idea holds that ...
S&P 500 (C fund)
Dow Completion (S fund)
EFA (I fund)
Bonds (F fund)