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  1. Another Signal

    by , 02-22-2011 at 05:54 PM (Coolhand's Market Analysis)
    The last few weeks have seen several unconfirmed signals, both buys and sells, and the last "confirmed" sell signal was a bust. Today the Seven Sentinels are flashing yet another unconfirmed signal, this time a sell and only two trading days after confirming a buy.

    The extreme news we've been hearing about in the Middle East and North Africa and how it might affect the oil markets would seem to be the main driver for today's sell signal, but a one-day sell-off does not by itself ...
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  2. Discuss Market Comments 02/22/11

    by , 02-21-2011 at 11:33 PM (TSP Talk Blog)
    More new highs Friday, but... - Stocks were flat to higher on Friday with many of the indices closing at new multi-year highs. The Dow picked up 73-points but small caps finished flat. That's the good news...

    Market Commentary for 2/22/11

    Current Daily Market Commentary
  3. Stock Exposure Dips

    by , 02-21-2011 at 08:26 AM (Coolhand's Market Analysis)
    It wasn't anything dramatic, but our collective stock exposure dipped over the past week. Here's the charts:

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    The Top 50 is still overwhelmingly bullish with the S fund leading overall stock exposure by a wide margin.

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    The herd sold about 11.5% of their stock holdings and moved into the F fund (up 8%) and the G fund (up 2%). I'm inclined ...
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  4. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up - 02/19/11

    by , 02-19-2011 at 01:32 PM (TSP Talk Blog)
    Three months and counting

    The market continues to defy logic - that logic being that markets do not go straight up (or straight down) but since the 1st of December, we are virtually seeing just that. How long can it continue, and should you fight it?

    For the TSP, the C-fund gained 1.10% on the week, the S-fund was up 1.31%, and the I-fund picked up 2.06% as the dollar pulled back. Bonds (F-fund) rebounded nicely from their recent slide, adding 0.42% on the week, and the
    ...
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    TSP Weekly Wrap Ups
  5. Sideways and Up

    by , 02-18-2011 at 06:19 PM (Coolhand's Market Analysis)
    Not much to say today as there was little data or news of note with perhaps one exception. That being China's announcement that it will raise its Reserve Requirement Ratio by another 50 basis points. But I don't think the market was taken by surprise with that bit of news.

    Let's get to the charts:

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    NAMO and NYMO remain on buys.

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    NAHL and NYHL also remained on a buy.

    ...
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S&P 500 (C fund)
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Dow Completion (S fund)
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EFA (I fund)
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Bonds (F fund)
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