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  1. Sentiment drops


    4/20/12

    Stocks had a hard time finding direction early yesterday but things came tumbling down just after noon ET. A late rally helped the indices from closing at their lows, and the Dow ended the day with a loss of 69-points.


    For the TSP, the C-fund was down 0.59% yesterday, the S-fund lost 0.31%, the I-fund fell 0.39%, and the F-fund (bonds) ...
  2. Sentiment Survey Results - Buy

    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 4/23/12- 4/27/12

    Buy
    : The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 40% bulls, 45% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 0.82 to 1. That is a new buy signal in a bull market which means the system will move to a 100% S fund allocation for the week of 4/23/12 - 4/27/12.

    Bull market rules have been in affect since the week of 1/09/12:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, ...
  3. Bear flags still waving


    4/19/12

    Stocks pulled back yesterday after some less than exciting earnings reports from two big Dow companies - IBM and Intel. The Dow lost 83-points on the day - not too terrible considering the nearly 200-point gain the prior day.


    For the TSP, the C-fund was down 0.40% yesterday, the S-fund lost 0.52%, the I-fund slipped 0.05%, and the F-fund (bonds) ...
  4. One Day Wonder

    Today was quite the vertical blast. I suspected something in my recent “What IF?” blog posted Sunday evening. It seems turn-around Tuesday is aptly named. Now what? Will wild Wednesday bring the indices down? If the options market makers have their way, the market should stay in the general vicinity the rest of the week, or slightly up or down, wherever the sweet spot is located, to collect the most money and squeeze the little guy.

    Let’s review the waves on SP 500. Wave A down ...
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  5. Bear flag or bottom?


    4/18/12

    Stocks rallied sharply yesterday after some decent earnings reports, and some surprisingly strong demand for Spanish debt in a bond auction - an earlier concern. The Dow gained 194-points on the day.


    For the TSP, the C-fund was up 1.55% yesterday, the S-fund gained 1.50%, the I-fund made 1.58%, and the F-fund (bonds) fell ...
S&P 500 (C fund)
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Dow Completion (S fund)
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EFA (I fund)
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Bonds (F fund)
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