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  1. Rally to Continue?

    Last week, I showed you a chart that revealed seventeen weeks this year when total stock allocations from the auto-tracker fell from the previous week. The accuracy rate for stocks to fall after a weekly drop in stock allocations was only 24%. And stock allocations were down 6.78% at the beginning of last week, which was bullish by this measure. And so the market rallied on those odds again. This week, allocations are down once more. And so the odds favor more upside. Here's the charts:
  2. Gap Up?

    Stocks rallied again on Friday closing out one of the best weeks of the year, during historically the worst month of the year. The Dow gained 75-points while the S&P and small caps saw slightly lower gains percentage-wise, and the I-fund lost a bit of ground.

  3. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    During what is supposed to be the weakest month of the year historically, stocks had another great week adding to some impressive gains for the month of September. Some were calling it a relief rally after the threat of a strike on Syria subsided, and if that is the case, it may be an overreaction. What is coming down the road looks a little unnerving but investors don't seem all too concerned, although trading volume has been light indicating a possible stay back and wait approach.
    TSP Weekly Wrap Ups
  4. Taking a break


    Stocks took a break yesterday after three consecutive triple digit gains for the Dow. The initial jobless claims report came in better than expected, and living in Bizzaro World, where bad news is good news, and good news bad, the stock market paused in front of next week's Fed meeting where strong economic data could threaten investor's $85 billion QE. The Dow lost 26-points.

  5. Sentiment Survey Results...

    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 9/16/13- 9/20/13

    The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 50% bulls, 40% bears.

    See latest survey results

    Get the Sentiment System Signals

    The legal stuff: This information is for educational purposes only! This is not advice or a recommendation. We do not give investment advice. Do not act on this data. Do not buy, sell or trade the funds mentioned herein based on this
S&P 500 (C Fund)
DWCPF (S Fund)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index (^DWCPF)
EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)
AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)