View RSS Feed

All Blog Entries

  1. TBS: Does Sell in May and go away really work?

    , 06-11-2011 at 05:16 PM
    We are in month #2 of what many call "Sell in May and go away" or "The worst 6 months." It's a phenomenon where on April 30th investors sell their stocks and buy bonds. The question is does it work? As with any statistical data the answer is "it depends." The problem with all these calender-based trading events is that it's really easy to manipulate the data to the perspective you want to convey. When you hear stats being floated around you have to ask yourself a few questions.

  2. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up - 06/11/11

    by , 06-11-2011 at 10:47 AM (TSP Talk Blog)
    Six weeks

    We saw a brief rally on Thursday of last week, but that was it. Stocks have been down for six consecutive weeks now, and if anything the downside action has been accelerating. For the TSP, the C-fund was down another 2.21% for the week. The S-fund lost 3.35%, and the I-fund was down 2.40%. Bonds (F-fund) gained 0.10%, and the G-fund was up 0.05%.

    For the last few weeks I have given historical ...
    TSP Weekly Wrap Ups
  3. Tips & Tricks: Knowing when to give up

    , 06-11-2011 at 01:38 AM
    To say it's been an interesting June would be somewhat of an understatement, it's been ugly, the kind of ugly you can't fix with beer. Now that I've IFT'd into the S-Fund, I have the pleasure of measuring price & pain right along side everyone else who's invested. That's ok, I don't mind getting in the trenches, if you want to make money you have to be willing to get dirty. When I made my entry I estimated we were within 5 days of the low. That means I said the low will be put in by this Tuesday. ...
    Tips & Tricks
  4. Discuss Market Comments 06/10/11

    by , 06-09-2011 at 10:09 PM (TSP Talk Blog)
    Bounce - After 6 consecutive down days, the market finally experienced a relief rally. The close was not all that exciting as the Dow finished up 75-points after being up 135 less than an hour before the close, but the bulls won't complain..

    Current Daily Market Commentary

    Market Commentary for 6/10/11
  5. Sentiment Survey Results for 6/13/11 - 6/17/11

    by , 06-09-2011 at 08:19 PM (TSP Talk Blog)
    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 06/13/11- 06/17/11

    Buy: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 41% bulls, 48% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 0.85 to 1. That is a buy signal so the system's allocation remains 100% S-Fund the week of 06/13/11 - 06/17/11.

    Bull market rules are in affect since 9/27/10:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
S&P 500 (C fund)
Dow Completion (S fund)
EFA (I fund)
Bonds (F fund)