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Last week, the Top 50 increased their stock allocations by 13.6% from a modest 26.8% to 40.4%. That bullishness was rewarded with declines of 1.28% and 1.48% in the S and C funds respectively. This is on a week over week basis.
The Total Tracker showed only a modest stock allocation increase of 2.95%, but their total allocation was a bit higher (46.75%) than that of the Top 50.
After a sharp decline on Tuesday morning of last week, stocks basically treaded water the rest of the week. The bulls could not get a rebound going, but the bears couldn't keep the downside pressure on. We had a Fed FOMC meeting last week, some mixed earnings reports and economic data, and the ongoing presidential campaigns keeping things lively.
Here are the TSP fund returns for the week of
Yesterday the Dow let an early 85-point gain completely slip away by early afternoon, but by the close the bulls were able to push the indices back into positive territory. The Dow closed up 26-points.
TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 10/29/12- 11/02/12
Buy: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 49% bulls, 40% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 1.23 to 1. That is a Buy signal which means the system will remain in a 100% S fund allocation for the week of 10/29/12 - 11/02/12.
Bull market rules have been in effect since the week of 1/09/12:
See latest survey results
To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment
Stocks were positive for most of the day, but investors may have wanted more from the Fed because after the Fed policy statement was released, stocks lost ground. The Dow gave up 25-points.