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  1. Cautiously Bullish

    by , 03-19-2011 at 09:37 AM (Coolhand's Market Analysis)
    Another big change in one set of charts and only a modest change in the other. Last week the Top 50 significantly reduced their collective stock exposure for the week of 14 March and we saw that move pay some dividends for them as the C fund was down -2.34%, the S fund -1.96%, and the I fund -3.41% for the week. And this was one of those relatively rare occasions where our sentiment survey got it wrong. But few were able to miss the decline through Wednesday and then catch the bounce the balance ...

    Updated 03-19-2011 at 10:27 AM by coolhand

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  2. The Real Test is Next Week

    by , 03-18-2011 at 05:39 PM (Coolhand's Market Analysis)
    Options Expiration is now behind us until next month and it wasn't as volatile as one might have expected given the relentless news headlines that keep hitting the masses.

    But stocks did jump out the gate strong at the open on news that the G7 planned to intervene on behalf of the Japanese currency, which was setting record highs against the dollar in recent trading. But this currency manipulation is having effects in other markets, and those effects are driving the dollar index ...
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  3. Discuss Market Comments 03/18/11

    by , 03-17-2011 at 09:56 PM (TSP Talk Blog)
    Beware the rebound - Stocks rebounded nicely on Thursday with Dow jumping 161-points. I'm not complaining but there is a long way to go before this market is out of the woods...

    Market Commentary for 3/18/11

    Current Daily Market Commentary
  4. Sentiment Survey Results for 3/21/11 - 3/25/11

    by , 03-17-2011 at 08:19 PM (TSP Talk Blog)
    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 03/21/11 - 03/25/11

    Buy: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey gave another buy signal this week after the 0.75 to 1 bulls (39%) to bears (52%) ratio. The system's allocation remains 100% S-Fund for next week.

    Bull market rules are in affect since 9/27/10:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk

    The legal stuff: This system is ...
  5. Nice Bounce, But Caution Still Warranted

    by , 03-17-2011 at 05:49 PM (Coolhand's Market Analysis)
    While the S&P posted significant gains today, the broader market was a bit more subdued. At the close the S&P saw a gain of +1.34%, while the rest of the market (the Wilshire 4500) posted a gain of only +0.58%. The DOW closed with a +1.39% gain, while the Nasdaq closed with a +0.73% gain.

    It's only one day, but it sure looks like traders are favoring larger issues over smaller ones, and commodities over technology. But again, it's only one day and hardly indicative of a trend. ...
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