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  1. Happy New Year!

    Happy New Year, everyone! This month marks the 10th anniversary for TSP Talk. It was January of 2004 that we posted the first daily market commentary here. Thanks to all of you who have stopped by over the years, those that have helped spread the word, and especially our Forum and Premium Service members! It has been a wonderful journey. Now let's get started with year #11.

  2. As goes January...

    The Dow chart below exaggerates the day's action a bit. The Dow did gain 26-points, but it was a slow, flat, tight trading range day that saw most indices end the day about where they started.
  3. A big year winds down

    Friday saw a dull end to a strong holiday week for stocks. The indices were flat with the Dow losing 1-point and the S&P 500 down 0.62. Bonds were also flat but the I-fund had a big day.
  4. Seasonality Remains Positive

    Even our bearish sentiment survey at 76% bulls was no match for seasonality and liquidity last week as some of the indexes continue to hit fresh all-time highs. This week, our sentiment survey continued to be overly bullish at 71% bulls and we had less bears in the survey at just 19%. It certainly seems that many traders and investors are becoming more aware of how much QE has meant to the stock market. Just looking at our auto-tracker for 2013 shows that trying to protect capital throughout the ...
  5. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Stocks did not disappoint those expecting the positive seasonality rally during Christmas week. The holiday shortened week produced solid gains with the I-fund leading the way, while bonds and the F-fund were the losers.

    Here are the weekly, monthly, and annual TSP fund returns through Friday, December 27...

    TSP Weekly Wrap Ups
S&P 500 (C Fund)
DWCPF (S Fund)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index (^DWCPF)
EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)
AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)