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  1. Dead Cat Bounce?

    by , 09-23-2011 at 06:10 PM (Coolhand's Market Analysis)
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    Last week, the market logged five advances in as many days on its way to a 5.4% weekly gain. This week, the market logged losses in four of five trading days and ended the week lower by 6.5%.

    Such wide swings speak to the headline risk of global economic developments as well as the emotional turmoil of the trader psyche.

    This week's performance was the seventh weekly loss in nine weeks. And while TSPTalk declared that a bear ...
  2. Bear flag breaks

    by , 09-22-2011 at 09:59 PM (TSP Talk Blog)


    Stocks opened sharply lower yesterday and never really could get any footing although the Dow was able to close 137-points off of the low. But I guess that's not much consolation considering the low was a loss of 528-points.

    For the TSP, the C-fund dropped 3.14% yesterday, the S-fund fell 3.62%, the I-fund lost 3.33%, and the F-fund
  3. Sentiment Survey Results: 9/26 - 9/30/11

    by , 09-22-2011 at 07:41 PM (TSP Talk Blog)
    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 09/26/11- 09/30/11

    Buy: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 29% bulls, 63% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 0.46 to 1. That is a buy signal so the system will remain 100% in the C-fund for the week of 09/26/11 - 09/30/11.

    Bear market rules are in affect 8/22/11:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk

    The legal stuff: ...
  4. Treasuries Post Some Historic Numbers

    by , 09-22-2011 at 07:11 PM (Coolhand's Market Analysis)
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    There were any number of titles I could have used for today's blog as the follow through downside action was impressive. But while we've been here before in the equities market, the bond market is setting new records.

    Today, the 10-year note closed with at an eye-popping yield of just 1.715%. The driving factor behind the move was continued global growth fears along with the European debt crisis. The 20-year saw its yield fall to 2.786%; ...
  5. The Fed flop

    by , 09-21-2011 at 09:27 PM (TSP Talk Blog)


    Stocks were modestly lower to flat yesterday until the Fed's policy statement was read just before 2:30 PM yesterday. How did investors react? It was a twist and shout sell.

    The Dow lost 284-points. For the TSP, the C-fund dropped 2.94% yesterday, the S-fund sank 3.37%, the I-fund lost 2.75%, and the F-fund (bonds)
S&P 500 (C fund)
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Dow Completion (S fund)
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EFA (I fund)
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Bonds (F fund)
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