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  1. Sentiment Survey Results...

    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 10/22/12- 10/26/12

    Buy: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 50% bulls, 40% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 1.25 to 1. That is a Buy signal which means the system will remain in a 100% S fund allocation for the week of 10/22/12 - 10/26/12.

    Bull market rules have been in effect since the week of 1/09/12:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment ...
  2. Trading Box

    The SP 500 on the daily chart has been trading in a box since early September, within a 3.5% range. One can also count five waves. Call it a reelection tussle, a holding pattern, indecision, a basing pattern for a move up or a topping pattern. It should be noted that support from the June low was regained yesterday, after trading below the line four sessions. Most metrics are moving back up. Will this be the breakout above 1475 this time, or another decline as soon as option expiration week ...
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  3. The tests are coming


    10/18/12

    The Dow struggled most of the day yesterday but managed a 5-point gain by the end of the day. The broader market did better however, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Transports, and small caps seeing larger gains. The I-fund led the way with a 1.26% gain.
    ...
  4. Follow-through

    10/17/12

    Stocks rallied sharply on Tuesday, following through on Monday's bounce off of the 50-day EMA of the S&P 500 and the Dow charts. The Dow gained 128-points on the day.
    ...
  5. Resuming the uptrend, or...


    10/16/12

    Stocks rallied yesterday as the Dow and S&P 500 held onto some key support levels - at least for now. The Dow gained 95-points on the day and the three TSP stock funds each saw approximately 3/4 of a percent gains.
    ...
S&P 500 (C fund)
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Dow Completion (S fund)
[Chart]
EFA (I fund)
[Chart]
Bonds (F fund)
[Chart]