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  1. Sticking With What Works

    For 10 out of the last 12 weeks now, the Top 50 have maintained a total stock exposure above 91.68%. This week, they're at 100% stock exposure. Might as well stick with what's been working, and being long is working.

    Here's the charts:

    Transfer 6/10 for 6/14/04-fund-allocation-~-top-50-chart-3-jpg
    Transfer 6/10 for 6/14/04-2012-top-50-trend-jpg

    Stock exposure increased from 94% last week to 100% this week.

    Transfer 6/10 for 6/14/04-total-tracker-fund-allocation-jpg
    Transfer 6/10 for 6/14/04-2012-total-tracker-trend-jpg
  2. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    After bouncing around wildly earlier in the week, the stock market found its footing and rallied off of the early Wednesday morning low, to reach a new all-time high in the S&P 500 by the close on Thursday (Friday was a holiday.)

    Here are the up to date weekly, final March monthly, and end of the 1st quarter, TSP fund returns through March 28:

    TSP Weekly Wrap Ups
  3. Borrowing reaches excessive levels


    Stocks fell yesterday, but most of the damage was done at the open, and the indices battled back the rest of the day with some closing in positive territory. The Dow lost 33-points.
  4. Sentiment Survey Results...

    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 4/01/13- 4/05/13

    Buy: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 46% bulls, 43% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 1.07 to 1. That is a buy signal in a bull market which means the survey system will remain in a 100% S fund allocation for the week of 4/01/13 - 4/05/13.

    Bull market rules have been in effect since the week of 1/09/12:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment ...
  5. New highs for the Dow


    Stocks rallied strongly yesterday making it 6 straight days of back and forth action - loss, gain, loss, gain, etc. The Dow gained 112-points and it made a new high.
S&P 500 (C fund)
Dow Completion (S fund)
EFA (I fund)
Bonds (F fund)