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  1. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up - 08/13/11

    by , 08-13-2011 at 01:41 PM (TSP Talk Blog)
    Volatility

    I assume that most of you reading this know what happened in the U.S. markets last week. It was difficult to avoid the media coverage. We witnessed historic volatility in that, for the first time ever, the Dow moved 400-points in one direction or the other for four straight days.



    Volatility tends to accompany poor market performance and some systems, like our Trader Fred System, avoids
    ...
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    TSP Weekly Wrap Ups
  2. Interesting Observation

    by , 08-13-2011 at 10:56 AM (Coolhand's Market Analysis)
    Name:  2011 Fund Allocation ~ Top 50 Chart 3.jpg
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    Name:  2011 Cash-Stock Exp ~ Top 50 Chart 1.jpg
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    With the severe volatility we've seen over the past couple of weeks, I'm not sure how accurate it may be to isolate a group like the Top 50 with the intent to discern where the market might go over the short term (one week). But in any event, we can see the Top 50 increased their collective stock allocation by a healthy 20.48% going into this week. Still, the total stock allocation is only 38.7%, so there's still quite ...
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  3. Follow Through

    by , 08-12-2011 at 06:09 PM (Coolhand's Market Analysis)
    Name:  followthrough.jpg
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    After several wild days of extreme volatility the market broke out to the up-side in choppy fashion, posting its second gain in as many days.

    Interestingly, the positive tone seemed to start in the EU, where France, Spain, Italy, and Belgium announced a short-selling ban for a limited time frame. I'm not sure I agree that's relevant to managing downside pressure, but the market seemed to like it just the same.

    On the domestic ...
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  4. And, up again

    by , 08-11-2011 at 10:20 PM (TSP Talk Blog)
    08/12/11

    We had another
    huge rally on Wall Street yesterday as the down / up / down / up pattern continued. The Dow closed well off of its high but still managed a 423-point gain. That was the 4th consecutive 400+ points move in the Dow; the longest streak ever.

    For the TSP, the C-fund gained 4.64% yesterday, the S-fund was up 5.24%, the I-fund picked up 4.59%, and the F-fund (bonds) dropped 0.73%.


    ...
  5. Sentiment Survey Results: 8/15 - 8/19/11

    by , 08-11-2011 at 08:27 PM (TSP Talk Blog)
    TSPTalk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 8/15/11- 08/19/11

    Buy: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 51% bulls,41% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 1.24 to 1, which is still a buy signal, so the system's allocation remains 100% S-Fund for the week of 08/15/11- 08/19/11.
    Bull market rules are in affect since9/27/10:

    See latest survey results

    Todiscuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk

    The legal ...
S&P 500 (C fund)
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Dow Completion (S fund)
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EFA (I fund)
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Bonds (F fund)
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