View RSS Feed

All Blog Entries

  1. Sentiment Survey results...

    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 6/17/13- 6/21/13

    Buy: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 36% bulls, 55% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 0.65 to 1. That is a buy signal in a bull market which means the survey system will remain in a 100% S fund allocation for the week of 6/17/13 - 6/21/13.

    Bull market rules have been in effect since the week of 1/09/12:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment ...
  2. 1987 sequel? Stay on your toes


    06/13/13

    Stocks opened sharply higher yesterday, looking to get back some of Tuesday's 217-point loss in the Dow, but the early 120-point rally turned into a 126-point loss by the close on Wednesday. Now the indices are testing some important support so don't blink in the coming days.

    ...
  3. Failed breakouts and reversals in bonds

    06/12/13

    It was another triple digit move for the Dow yesterday; this one a loss as turmoil over the Bank of Japan's decision to hold their monetary policy steady saw stocks around the world decline. The Japanese Nikkei Index had tumbled over 3000 points in the last couple of weeks so many expected some kind of change in their policy.


    ...
  4. A pause, and another Omen


    06/11/13

    Stock opened higher on Monday morning but the spike was met with immediately selling pressure. From there the indices rebounded again and straddled the break-even mark all day where the Dow and S&P 500 closed basically flat.

    Small caps and the I-fund led the way with modest gains while the Dow Transportation index saw minor losses.

    ...
  5. Sweet spot

    06/10/13

    Despite an uptick in the unemployment rate to 7.6%, the number of private sector jobs created in May turned out to be just what Wall Street wanted to hear. They are calling it the Goldilocks report - just right. I've called it the sweat spot. The Dow gained 207-points on the news.
    ...
S&P 500 (C fund)
[Chart]
Dow Completion (S fund)
[Chart]
EFA (I fund)
[Chart]
Bonds (F fund)
[Chart]