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  1. Sentiment Survey Results...

    TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 7/30/12- 8/03/12

    The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 51% bulls, 40% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 1.28 to 1. That is a neutral reading which means the system will remain 100% S fund for the week of 7/30/12 - 8/03/12.

    Bull market rules have been in effect since the week of 1/09/12:

    See latest survey results

    To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey ...
  2. The Omen


    7/26/12

    Stocks rallied early on Wednesday, but floundered late and we saw mixed results in the major indices by the close. The Dow gained 59-points while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were down.

    ...
  3. A triple triple


    7/25/12

    Despite another late rally, the Dow suffered yet another triple digit loss. The 104-point decline was the third consecutive 100+ point loss for the Dow, and that is the first time that has happened since last September.

    ...
  4. Possible huge rally on the horizon

    Here I present two pieces of evidence:

    The US dollar is getting overbought in the longer term. The US dollar index, daily cash settlement, for the last two years is shown on the chart below. A breakdown below the brown line occurred in February of 2011. After the low in May of 2011 there has been a steady rise in what looks like five waves, and now $US backtests the brown line. When this advance fails, the rally should be underway. A prominent negative divergence is on the RSI ...
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  5. Europe again


    7/24/12

    Make it eight negative Mondays in a row for stocks. The indices opened sharply lower yesterday and while the Dow did make a decent comeback from its early 240-point decline, it still ended the day down 101-points.

    ...
S&P 500 (C fund)
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Dow Completion (S fund)
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EFA (I fund)
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Bonds (F fund)
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